METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2
Las Vegas, USA
11 Jan 2025
Middleweight
VS
48%
Curtis
52%
Kopylov
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:59
★ Official Result
Roman KopylovwinsKO/TKOR3 · 4:59
def. Chris Curtis · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Kopylov
→
Actual result
Kopylov wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Curtis at 48% vs Kopylov at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Curtis has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CurtisKopylov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Curtis
Kopylov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
75"
Reach
75"
39
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Curtis
Kopylov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.5
54.3
46.3
Performance Avg
50.3
41
Quality of Victory
45
54
Momentum Score
58
Curtis
Kopylov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.3
1.9
53%
Strike Accuracy
52%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.3
3 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
33
Head
33
8
Body
5
1
Leg
6
RangeRange
42Distance40
0Clinch2
0Ground2
Curtis
Kopylov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.7
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Curtis
Kopylov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
70
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/45 fights
Chin rating based on
12/20 fights
Curtis
Kopylov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
54
58
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Curtis
Kopylov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
71%
3
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Curtis
Kopylov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.3
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.7
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
CurtisKopylov
Strike Zones
Curtis
Attacking
42 landedAbsorbing
44 absorbedKopylov
Attacking
44 landedAbsorbing
42 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Curtis targets the head (79% of attacks) — Kopylov absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Kopylov targets the head (75% of attacks) — Curtis absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Curtis
RND
Kopylov
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Curtis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.9WinLossTrend
Kopylov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Curtis · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Myktybek OrolbaiRating 7.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Max GriffinRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Roman KopylovRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Dec · R5
Brendan AllenRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
W · Dec · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 4.5Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
Kopylov · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Marco TulioRating 5.8Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Gregory RodriguesRating 7.1Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Paulo CostaRating 6.5Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · KO · R3
Chris CurtisRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
W · Dec · R3
Cesar AlmeidaRating 5.6Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06