METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
Chicago, USA
8 Jun 2019
Bantamweight
VS
93%
Wineland
7%
Popov
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:47
★ Official Result
Eddie WinelandwinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:47
def. Grigory Popov · UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Wineland
→
Actual result
Wineland wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Wineland is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Wineland has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 50 points.
Popov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Wineland's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
WinelandPopov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Wineland
Popov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
69"+
Reach
68"
42
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Wineland
Popov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.2
2.1
45.0
Performance Avg
0.0
50
Quality of Victory
0
78
Momentum Score
0
Wineland
Popov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
2.1
32%
Strike Accuracy
39%
9.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
34
Head
17
14
Body
8
2
Leg
6
RangeRange
46Distance30
0Clinch1
4Ground0
Wineland
Popov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Wineland
Popov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
76
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
5
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.2 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/40 fights
Chin rating based on
2/16 fights
Wineland
Popov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Wineland
Popov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
0%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Wineland
Popov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
WinelandPopov
Strike Zones
Wineland
Attacking
50 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedPopov
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
50 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Wineland targets the head (68% of attacks) — Popov absorbs 68% of strikes there
🎯Popov targets the head (55% of attacks) — Wineland absorbs 55% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Wineland
RND
Popov
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Wineland · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Popov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Wineland · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Cody StamannRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06
L · KO · R1
John CastanedaRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · 2021-02
L · KO · R1
Sean O'MalleyRating 3KO/TKO
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
W · KO · R2
Grigory PopovRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes · 2019-06
L · Dec · R3
Alejandro PerezRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
Popov · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Davey GrantRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
L · KO · R2
Eddie WinelandRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes · 2019-06