UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
Chicago, USA
8 Jun 2019
Bantamweight
VS
93%
Wineland
7%
Popov
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:47
EW
Eddie Wineland
24 – 16
5'7"69" reachOrthodox41 yrs3-fight slideStriker
CFR 28
GP
Grigory Popov
13 – 3
Well-Rounded2-fight slide42 yrsSwitch68" reach5'7"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Wineland

Wineland is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Wineland has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 50 points.

Popov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Wineland's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Wineland
Popov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
69"+
Reach
68"
41+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Wineland
Popov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.2
2.1
45.0
Performance Avg
0.0
50
Quality of Victory
0
78
Momentum Score
0
Wineland
Popov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
2.1
32%
Strike Accuracy
39%
9.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
34
Head
17
14
Body
8
2
Leg
6
RangeRange
46Distance30
0Clinch1
4Ground0
Wineland
Popov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Wineland
Popov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
76
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
5
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.2 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/40 fights
Chin rating based on
2/16 fights
Wineland
Popov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Wineland
Popov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
0%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Wineland
Popov
Striking9.1 / 0.0Volume2.1 / 0.0Grappling0.4 / 0.0Wrestling0.3 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure7.0 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Wineland
Strike Zones
Popov
Wineland
Attacking
34HEAD14BODY2LEGS50 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD8BODY6LEGS31 absorbed
Popov
Attacking
17HEAD8BODY6LEGS31 landed
Absorbing
34HEAD14BODY2LEGS50 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Wineland targets the head (68% of attacks) — Popov absorbs 68% of strikes there
🎯Popov targets the head (55% of attacks) — Wineland absorbs 55% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Wineland
RND
Popov
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0

Wineland · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.5L5.5L5.2W4.5W2.1L5.2W1.5L5.5L5.5W5.0W5.5L5.5L5.2W3.0L2.3L1.5L2011-032013-092016-072019-062022-06
WinLossTrend

Popov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0102.8L6.3L2019-062019-11
WinLossTrend

Wineland · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Cody StamannRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06
L · KO · R1
John CastanedaRating 2.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · 2021-02
L · KO · R1
Sean O'MalleyRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
W · KO · R2
Grigory PopovRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes · 2019-06
L · Dec · R3
Alejandro PerezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07

Popov · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Davey GrantRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
L · KO · R2
Eddie WinelandRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes · 2019-06

News & Media

Eddie Wineland · Grigory Popov
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