METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle
Milwaukee, USA
14 Aug 2011
Welterweight
VS
46%
Hardy
54%
Lytle
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 4:16
★ Official Result
Chris LytlewinsSubmissionR3 · 4:16
def. Dan Hardy · UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lytle
→
Actual result
Lytle wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Hardy at 46% vs Lytle at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Lytle has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Hardy's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HardyLytle
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Hardy
Lytle
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
74"+
Reach
68"
44+
Age
51
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hardy
Lytle
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.4
18.3
46.0
Performance Avg
46.2
37
Quality of Victory
44
38
Momentum Score
56
Hardy
Lytle
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
1.3
34%
Strike Accuracy
42%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
17
1
Body
16
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
12Distance31
1Clinch3
0Ground0
Hardy
Lytle
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.5
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hardy
Lytle
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
80
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/35 fights
Chin rating based on
20/49 fights
Hardy
Lytle
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
38
56
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Hardy
Lytle
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
70%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
6
4
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hardy
Lytle
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.5
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
HardyLytle
Strike Zones
Hardy
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
34 absorbedLytle
Attacking
34 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hardy targets the head (85% of attacks) — Lytle absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Lytle targets the head (50% of attacks) — Hardy absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hardy
RND
Lytle
0/0R00/0
Hardy · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Lytle · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Hardy · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Amir SadollahRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic · 2012-09
W · KO · R1
Duane LudwigRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir · 2012-05
L · Sub · R3
Chris LytleRating 4Submission
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Anthony JohnsonRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis · 2011-03
L · KO · R1
Carlos ConditRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama · 2010-10
Lytle · Last 5
W · Sub · R3
Dan HardyRating 5.5Submission
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Brian EbersoleRating 5.5Decision
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
W · Dec · R3
Matt SerraRating 4.5Decision
UFC 119: Mir vs Cro Cop · 2010-09
W · Sub · R2
Matt BrownRating 5.6Submission
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
W · Sub · R1
Brian FosterRating 5Submission
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02