METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle
Milwaukee, USA
14 Aug 2011
Welterweight
VS
46%
Hardy
54%
Lytle
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 4:16
★ Official Result
Chris LytlewinsSubmissionR3 · 4:16
def. Dan Hardy · UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lytle
→
Actual result
Lytle wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Hardy at 46% vs Lytle at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Hardy's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HardyLytle
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Hardy
Lytle
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
74"+
Reach
68"
44+
Age
52
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hardy
Lytle
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.4
18.3
46.0
Performance Avg
46.2
37
Quality of Victory
44
38
Momentum Score
56
Hardy
Lytle
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.5
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
4.1
Style: Pressure
6.4
6.5
Style: Volume
3.4
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
17
1
Body
16
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
12Distance31
1Clinch3
0Ground0
Hardy
Lytle
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
5.5
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.9
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
6.0
0
Submission wins
6
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hardy
Lytle
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
80
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/35 fights
Chin rating based on
20/49 fights
Hardy
Lytle
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
38
56
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Hardy
Lytle
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
70%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
6
4
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hardy
Lytle
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.5
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
HardyLytle
Strike Zones
Hardy
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
34 absorbedLytle
Attacking
34 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hardy targets the head (85% of attacks) — Lytle absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Lytle targets the head (50% of attacks) — Hardy absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hardy
RND
Lytle
0/0R00/0
Hardy · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Amir SadollahDecision
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W · KO · R1
Duane LudwigKO/TKO
UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir · 2012-05
L · Sub · R3
Chris LytleSubmission
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Anthony JohnsonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis · 2011-03
L · KO · R1
Carlos ConditKO/TKO
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama · 2010-10
Lytle · Last 5
W · Sub · R3
Dan HardySubmission
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Brian EbersoleDecision
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
W · Dec · R3
Matt SerraDecision
UFC 119: Mir vs Cro Cop · 2010-09
W · Sub · R2
Matt BrownSubmission
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
W · Sub · R1
Brian FosterSubmission
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02