METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
1 Aug 2015
Light Heavyweight
VS
64%
Rua
36%
Nogueira
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Mauricio RuawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Rogerio Nogueira · UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rua
→
Actual result
Rua wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Rua holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Nogueira has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Rua's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Nogueira has a chin rating of 26 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RuaNogueira
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Rua
Nogueira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
76"+
Reach
75"
44+
Age
50
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Rua
Nogueira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.6
14.4
49.7
Performance Avg
47.0
51
Quality of Victory
48
46
Momentum Score
20
Rua
Nogueira
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.2
/ 10
7.6
/ 10
6.5
Style: Pressure
6.0
3.1
Style: Volume
3.6
8 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
18
7
Body
1
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
22Distance18
0Clinch1
2Ground0
Rua
Nogueira
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
0.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rua
Nogueira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
26
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
6
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/41 fights
Chin rating based on
13/33 fights
Rua
Nogueira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
20
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
Rua
Nogueira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
73%
67%
8
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rua
Nogueira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.6
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
RuaNogueira
Strike Zones
Rua
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedNogueira
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rua targets the head (54% of attacks) — Nogueira absorbs 54% of strikes there
🎯Nogueira targets the head (95% of attacks) — Rua absorbs 95% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rua
RND
Nogueira
0/0R00/0
Rua · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Ihor PotieriaKO/TKO
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
L · Dec · R3
Ovince Saint PreuxDecision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
L · KO · R2
Paul CraigKO/TKO
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · 2020-11
W · Dec · R3
Rogerio NogueiraDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
Upcoming
Paul CraigDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
Nogueira · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Mauricio RuaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
L · KO · R1
Ryan SpannKO/TKO
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
W · KO · R2
Sam AlveyKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · KO · R3
Ryan BaderKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
W · KO · R1
Patrick CumminsKO/TKO
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic · 2016-05