UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd
Sacramento, USA
13 Jul 2019
Light Heavyweight
VS
86%
Rodriguez
14%
Allan
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Rodriguez
Rodriguez is a strong favourite at 86% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Rodriguez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 60 points.
Rodriguez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Rodriguez's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rodriguez
Allan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'1"
82"+
Reach
75"
37
Age
+33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Rodriguez
Allan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
26.6
4.2
47.4
Performance Avg
0.0
60
Quality of Victory
0
26
Momentum Score
0
Rodriguez
Allan
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.2
1.4
58%
Strike Accuracy
38%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
19
8
Body
6
10
Leg
0
RangeRange
26Distance12
0Clinch6
0Ground7
Rodriguez
Allan
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Rodriguez
Allan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/18 fights
Chin rating based on
3/20 fights
Rodriguez
Allan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Rodriguez
Allan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rodriguez
Allan
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
RodriguezAllan
Strike Zones
Rodriguez
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedAllan
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rodriguez targets the legs (38% of attacks) — Allan absorbs 38% of strikes there
🎯Allan targets the head (76% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 76% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rodriguez
RND
Allan
0/0R00/0
Rodriguez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Allan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.9WinLossTrend
Rodriguez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Tafon NchukwiRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · 2021-09
L · Sub · R2
Danilo MarquesRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
L · Sub · R3
Ed HermanRating 4.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
W · KO · R1
Marcin PrachnioRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar · 2020-08
L · KO · R1
Da Woon JungRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-12
Allan · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Dustin JacobyRating 6.9Decision
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · Dec · R3
Roman DolidzeRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
Upcoming
Mike RodriguezUFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07