METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva
Melbourne, Australia
9 Feb 2019
Lightweight
VS
95%
Vannata
5%
Mariano
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:55
★ Official Result
Lando VannatawinsSubmissionR1 · 4:55
def. Marcos Mariano · UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Vannata
→
Actual result
Vannata wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Vannata is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 44 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Vannata has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 41 points.
Risk flags
Vannata's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
VannataMariano
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Vannata
Mariano
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'1"
71"
Reach
+76"
34+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Vannata
Mariano
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.9
2.4
37.9
Performance Avg
0.0
41
Quality of Victory
0
70
Momentum Score
0
Vannata
Mariano
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.5
Style: Pressure
0.0
4.7
Style: Volume
0.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
2
0
Body
0
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
18Ground2
Vannata
Mariano
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Vannata
Mariano
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/20 fights
Chin rating based on
2/12 fights
Vannata
Mariano
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
70
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Vannata
Mariano
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Vannata
Mariano
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
VannataMariano
Strike Zones
Vannata
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedMariano
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Vannata targets the head (90% of attacks) — Mariano absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Mariano targets the head (67% of attacks) — Vannata absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Vannata
RND
Mariano
0/0R00/0
Vannata · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Darrius FlowersKO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Mike GrundyDecision
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L · Dec · R3
King GreenDecision
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Mariano · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Claudio PuellesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · 2019-09
L · Sub · R1
Lando VannataSubmission
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva · 2019-02