UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Till
Gdansk, Poland
21 Oct 2017
Welterweight
VS
48%
Cerrone
52%
Till
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:20
DC
Donald Cerrone
"Cowboy"
36 – 17
6'1"73" reachOrthodox43 yrs6-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 28
DT
Darren Till
"The Gorilla"
18 – 5
Well-Rounded3-fight slide33 yrsSouthpaw74" reach6'0"
CFR 31

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Till

This is a genuine toss-up — Cerrone at 48% vs Till at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Cerrone throws more volume but Till connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Cerrone's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Till has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Cerrone
Till
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
73"
Reach
+74"
43
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Cerrone
Till
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.2
30.5
53.0
Performance Avg
44.3
47
Quality of Victory
38
63
Momentum Score
35
Cerrone
Till
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
0.9
49%
Strike Accuracy
49%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.4
10 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
23
5
Body
0
7
Leg
1
RangeRange
13Distance18
1Clinch4
0Ground2
Cerrone
Till
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cerrone
Till
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
40
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
7
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.1 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
38/53 fights
Chin rating based on
12/23 fights
Cerrone
Till
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
35
6-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Cerrone
Till
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
33%
10
KO / TKO Wins
2
6
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cerrone
Till
Striking5.6 / 4.4Volume3.7 / 6.4Grappling2.8 / 1.6Wrestling2.0 / 1.1Submission2.6 / 0.0Pressure6.7 / 4.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
2.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.0
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.4
Cerrone
Strike Zones
Till
Cerrone
Attacking
2HEAD5BODY7LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
23HEAD0BODY1LEGS24 absorbed
Till
Attacking
23HEAD0BODY1LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD5BODY7LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cerrone targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Till absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Till targets the head (96% of attacks) — Cerrone absorbs 96% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cerrone
RND
Till
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Cerrone · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.2W4.5W6.4W5.0W5.5L5.0W5.0W1.5L4.5W5.7L5.2W5.0W5.5W5.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.2W1.7L5.0W5.5W5.2W5.9W2.8L5.8L1.5L5.0W6.6L5.0W6.1W4.5W5.3L3.1L3.5L5.5L1.5L3.2L2011-022013-112016-062019-052022-07
WinLossTrend

Till · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.2W4.5W4.5W5.0W5.1W2.1L2.1L4.8W6.4L3.0L5.9L2015-052017-102019-032021-092022-12
WinLossTrend

Cerrone · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Jim MillerRating 3.2
Submission
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
L · KO · R1
Alex MoronoRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · 2021-05
Upcoming
Niko Price
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
L · Dec · R3
Anthony PettisRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · KO · R1
Conor McGregorRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · 2020-01

Till · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Dricus Du PlessisRating 5.9
Submission
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
L · Sub · R3
Derek BrunsonRating 3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till · 2021-09
L · Dec · R5
Robert WhittakerRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
W · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 4.8
Decision
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
L · KO · R2
Jorge MasvidalRating 2.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · 2019-03

News & Media

Donald Cerrone · Darren Till
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