METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Till
Gdansk, Poland
21 Oct 2017
Welterweight
VS
56%
Cerrone
44%
Till
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:20
★ Official Result
Darren TillwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:20
def. Donald Cerrone · UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Till
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Cerrone
→
Actual result
Till wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Cerrone at 56% vs Till at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Cerrone's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Till has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CerroneTill
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Cerrone
Till
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
73"
Reach
+74"
43
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Cerrone
Till
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.2
22.4
53.0
Performance Avg
44.3
47
Quality of Victory
38
63
Momentum Score
35
Cerrone
Till
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.6
/ 10
4.4
/ 10
6.7
Style: Pressure
4.0
3.7
Style: Volume
6.4
10 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
23
5
Body
0
7
Leg
1
RangeRange
13Distance18
1Clinch4
0Ground2
Cerrone
Till
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.8
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
2.6
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
6
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cerrone
Till
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
40
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
7
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.1 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
38/53 fights
Chin rating based on
12/23 fights
Cerrone
Till
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
35
6-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Cerrone
Till
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
33%
10
KO / TKO Wins
2
6
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cerrone
Till
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
2.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.0
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.4
CerroneTill
Strike Zones
Cerrone
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTill
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cerrone targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Till absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Till targets the head (96% of attacks) — Cerrone absorbs 96% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cerrone
RND
Till
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Cerrone · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Jim MillerSubmission
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
L · KO · R1
Alex MoronoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · 2021-05
Upcoming
Niko PriceUFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
L · Dec · R3
Anthony PettisDecision
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · KO · R1
Conor McGregorKO/TKO
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · 2020-01
Till · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Dricus Du PlessisSubmission
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
L · Sub · R3
Derek BrunsonSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till · 2021-09
L · Dec · R5
Robert WhittakerDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
W · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumDecision
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
L · KO · R2
Jorge MasvidalKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · 2019-03