The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hitters Finale
Las Vegas, USA
30 Nov 2018
Bantamweight
VS
69%
Munhoz
31%
Caraway
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:39
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Munhoz
Munhoz holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Caraway has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Munhoz has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Munhoz
Caraway
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
65"
Reach
+68"
39+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Munhoz
Caraway
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.0
20.0
46.2
Performance Avg
47.9
44
Quality of Victory
40
43
Momentum Score
82
Munhoz
Caraway
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.1
42%
Strike Accuracy
37%
4.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.2
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
18
2
Body
1
9
Leg
1
RangeRange
27Distance20
4Clinch0
4Ground0
Munhoz
Caraway
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
6.1
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Munhoz
Caraway
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
72
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/30 fights
Chin rating based on
10/30 fights
Munhoz
Caraway
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
82
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Munhoz
Caraway
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
67%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
4
4
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Munhoz
Caraway
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
3.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.1
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.3
3.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.9
MunhozCaraway
Strike Zones
Munhoz
Attacking
35 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedCaraway
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
35 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Munhoz targets the head (69% of attacks) — Caraway absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Caraway targets the head (90% of attacks) — Munhoz absorbs 90% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Munhoz
RND
Caraway
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Munhoz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Caraway · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Munhoz · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Aiemann ZahabiRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Kyler PhillipsRating 6.2Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Marlon VeraRating 6.3Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
W · Dec · R3
Chris GutierrezRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
Upcoming
Sean O'MalleyUFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
Caraway · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Pedro MunhozRating 2KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hitters Finale · 2018-11
L · Dec · R3
Cody StamannRating 5.5Decision
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
W · Dec · R3
Aljamain SterlingRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
W · Dec · R3
Eddie WinelandRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · 2015-07
L · Dec · R3
Raphael AssuncaoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10
