METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hitters Finale
Las Vegas, USA
30 Nov 2018
Bantamweight
VS
69%
Munhoz
31%
Caraway
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:39
Pedro
Pedro Munhoz
"The Young Punisher"
20 – 10
5'6"65" reachOrthodox39 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 44
BC
Bryan Caraway
"Kid Lightning"
21 – 9
Well-Rounded2-fight slide41 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'8"
CFR 20
★ Official Result
Pedro MunhozwinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:39
def. Bryan Caraway · The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hitters Finale

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Munhoz
→
Actual result
Munhoz wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

Munhoz holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Caraway has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Munhoz has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
MunhozCaraway
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Munhoz
Caraway
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
65"
Reach
+68"
39+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Munhoz
Caraway
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.0
20.0
46.2
Performance Avg
47.9
44
Quality of Victory
40
43
Momentum Score
82
Munhoz
Caraway
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
1.1
42%
Strike Accuracy
37%
4.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.2
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
18
2
Body
1
9
Leg
1
RangeRange
27Distance20
4Clinch0
4Ground0
Munhoz
Caraway
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
6.1
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Munhoz
Caraway
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
72
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/30 fights
Chin rating based on
10/30 fights
Munhoz
Caraway
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
82
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Munhoz
Caraway
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
67%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
4
4
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Munhoz
Caraway
Striking4.0 / 1.2Volume4.2 / 3.9Grappling3.4 / 6.1Wrestling2.4 / 4.3Submission3.0 / 6.7Pressure5.7 / 6.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
3.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.1
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.3
3.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.9
Munhoz
Strike Zones
Caraway
Munhoz
Attacking
24HEAD2BODY9LEGS35 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD1BODY1LEGS20 absorbed
Caraway
Attacking
18HEAD1BODY1LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
24HEAD2BODY9LEGS35 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Munhoz targets the head (69% of attacks) — Caraway absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Caraway targets the head (90% of attacks) — Munhoz absorbs 90% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Munhoz
RND
Caraway
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Munhoz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.5L5.0W5.5L5.0W5.2W4.5W6.2W5.5L4.5W5.0W6.1W6.5L5.5L4.5W6.0L5.5L5.0W6.3L6.2L6.6L2014-022017-052019-032021-122024-11
WinLossTrend

Caraway · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.2W5.5W5.5L5.5W5.2W5.5L4.5W5.5W5.5L2.0L2011-122013-042015-072018-11
WinLossTrend

Munhoz · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Aiemann ZahabiRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Kyler PhillipsRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Marlon VeraRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
W · Dec · R3
Chris GutierrezRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
Upcoming
Sean O'Malley
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07

Caraway · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Pedro MunhozRating 2
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hitters Finale · 2018-11
L · Dec · R3
Cody StamannRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
W · Dec · R3
Aljamain SterlingRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
W · Dec · R3
Eddie WinelandRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · 2015-07
L · Dec · R3
Raphael AssuncaoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10

News & Media

Pedro Munhoz · Bryan Caraway
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