UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir
Brisbane, Australia
19 Mar 2016
Women's Bantamweight
VS
88%
Smith
12%
Nakai
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
LS
Leslie Smith
"The Peacemaker"
10 – 7
5'9"66" reachOrthodox43 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 19
RN
Rin Nakai
19 – 2
Well-Rounded2-fight slide39 yrsOrthodox5'1"
CFR 3

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Smith

Smith is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Smith has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 41 points.

Smith has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Smith
Nakai
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'1"
66"
Reach
43
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Smith
Nakai
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.4
2.7
47.6
Performance Avg
0.0
41
Quality of Victory
0
79
Momentum Score
0
Smith
Nakai
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.1
0.4
46%
Strike Accuracy
29%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
8
4
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
20Distance5
2Clinch3
0Ground0
Smith
Nakai
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Smith
Nakai
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
96
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/17 fights
Chin rating based on
2/21 fights
Smith
Nakai
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
0
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Smith
Nakai
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Smith
Nakai
Striking6.1 / 0.0Volume5.1 / 0.0Grappling1.2 / 0.0Wrestling0.8 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.2 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Smith
Strike Zones
Nakai
Smith
Attacking
18HEAD4BODY0LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD0BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Nakai
Attacking
8HEAD0BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD4BODY0LEGS22 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Smith targets the head (82% of attacks) — Nakai absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Nakai targets the head (100% of attacks) — Smith absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Smith
RND
Nakai
0/0R00/0

Smith · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5L5.0W4.8L4.5W1.5L5.3W6.3W2014-042014-112016-052017-07
WinLossTrend

Nakai · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.0
0106.4L5.5L2014-092016-03
WinLossTrend

Smith · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Amanda LemosRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio · 2017-07
W · Dec · R3
Irene AldanaRating 5.3
Decision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
L · KO · R1
Cristiane JustinoRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic · 2016-05
W · Dec · R3
Rin NakaiRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir · 2016-03
L · R2
Jessica EyeRating 4.8
UFC 180: Werdum vs Hunt · 2014-11

Nakai · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Leslie SmithRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir · 2016-03
L · Dec · R3
Miesha TateRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson · 2014-09

News & Media

Leslie Smith · Rin Nakai
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