UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos
Wichita, USA
9 Mar 2019
Middleweight
VS
35%
Boetsch
65%
Akhmedov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
TB
Tim Boetsch
"The Barbarian"
21 – 13
6'0"74" reachOrthodox45 yrs2-fight slideStriker
CFR 17
OA
Omari Akhmedov
"Wolverine"
21 – 6
Well-Rounded38 yrsOrthodox73" reach6'0"
CFR 30

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Akhmedov

Akhmedov holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Boetsch has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Boetsch has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Boetsch's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Akhmedov has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Boetsch
Akhmedov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
74"+
Reach
73"
45
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Boetsch
Akhmedov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.6
30.2
46.0
Performance Avg
47.0
43
Quality of Victory
36
69
Momentum Score
100
Boetsch
Akhmedov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.9
57%
Strike Accuracy
34%
6.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
7 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
19
6
Body
1
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
21Distance17
3Clinch3
0Ground0
Boetsch
Akhmedov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Boetsch
Akhmedov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
40
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
5
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/34 fights
Chin rating based on
15/27 fights
Boetsch
Akhmedov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
69
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Boetsch
Akhmedov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
33%
7
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Boetsch
Akhmedov
Striking6.8 / 3.5Volume4.3 / 6.6Grappling1.0 / 2.5Wrestling0.7 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 1.1Pressure5.6 / 4.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
4.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.6
Boetsch
Strike Zones
Akhmedov
Boetsch
Attacking
15HEAD6BODY3LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD1BODY0LEGS20 absorbed
Akhmedov
Attacking
19HEAD1BODY0LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD6BODY3LEGS24 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Boetsch targets the head (63% of attacks) — Akhmedov absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Akhmedov targets the head (95% of attacks) — Boetsch absorbs 95% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Boetsch
RND
Akhmedov
0/0R00/0

Boetsch · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0105.0W2.8L5.0W5.5L4.5W2.8L4.5W4.5W5.5W4.5W4.0L5.5L4.5W1.5L5.3W2.8L1.5L2.9L5.2W5.0W1.5L5.2W1.5L5.5L2008-022011-052013-102016-072019-03
WinLossTrend

Akhmedov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.0W2.6L4.5W5.0W4.0L4.5L4.5W6.0W4.5W4.9W4.5W6.3L5.2W5.5L2013-112015-122019-032021-012021-07
WinLossTrend

Boetsch · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
L · Sub · R1
Antonio Carlos JuniorRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
W · KO · R2
Johny HendricksRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · Sub · R1
Jacare SouzaRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie · 2017-02
W · KO · R1
Rafael NatalRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor · 2016-11

Akhmedov · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07
W · Sub · R2
Tom BreeseRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01
L · Dec · R3
Chris WeidmanRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
W · Dec · R3
Ian HeinischRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
W · Dec · R3
Zak CummingsRating 4.9
Decision
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09

News & Media

Tim Boetsch · Omari Akhmedov
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