METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos
Wichita, USA
9 Mar 2019
Middleweight
VS
46%
Boetsch
54%
Akhmedov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
TB
Tim Boetsch
"The Barbarian"
2113
6'0"74" reachOrthodox45 yrs2-fight slideStriker
CFR 17
OA
Omari Akhmedov
"Wolverine"
216
Well-Rounded38 yrsOrthodox73" reach6'0"
CFR 19
★ Official Result
Omari AkhmedovwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Tim Boetsch · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Akhmedov
Actual result
Akhmedov wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Boetsch at 46% vs Akhmedov at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Boetsch's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Akhmedov has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
BoetschAkhmedov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Boetsch
Akhmedov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
74"+
Reach
73"
45
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Boetsch
Akhmedov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.6
19.2
46.0
Performance Avg
47.0
43
Quality of Victory
36
69
Momentum Score
100
Boetsch
Akhmedov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.8
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
5.6
Style: Pressure
4.3
4.3
Style: Volume
6.6
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
19
6
Body
1
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
21Distance17
3Clinch3
0Ground0
Boetsch
Akhmedov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
2.5
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Boetsch
Akhmedov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
40
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
5
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
24/34 fights
Chin rating based on
15/27 fights
Boetsch
Akhmedov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
69
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Boetsch
Akhmedov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
33%
7
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Boetsch
Akhmedov
Striking6.8 / 3.5Volume4.3 / 6.6Grappling1.0 / 2.5Wrestling0.7 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 1.1Pressure5.6 / 4.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
4.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.6
Boetsch
Strike Zones
Akhmedov
Boetsch
Attacking
15HEAD6BODY3LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD1BODY0LEGS20 absorbed
Akhmedov
Attacking
19HEAD1BODY0LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD6BODY3LEGS24 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Boetsch targets the head (63% of attacks) — Akhmedov absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Akhmedov targets the head (95% of attacks) — Boetsch absorbs 95% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Boetsch
RND
Akhmedov
0/0R00/0

Boetsch · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Omari Akhmedov
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
L · Sub · R1
Antonio Carlos Junior
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
W · KO · R2
Johny Hendricks
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · Sub · R1
Jacare Souza
Submission
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie · 2017-02
W · KO · R1
Rafael Natal
KO/TKO
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor · 2016-11

Akhmedov · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Brad Tavares
Decision
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07
W · Sub · R2
Tom Breese
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01
L · Dec · R3
Chris Weidman
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
W · Dec · R3
Ian Heinisch
Decision
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
W · Dec · R3
Zak Cummings
Decision
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09

News & Media

Tim Boetsch · Omari Akhmedov
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