UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg
Miami, USA
11 Apr 2026
Light Heavyweight
VS
57%
Murzakanov
43%
Costa
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 1:23
Azamat
Azamat Murzakanov
"The Professional"
16 – 1
5'10"71" reachSouthpaw37 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 72
Paulo
Paulo Costa
"The Eraser"
16 – 4
Striker2-fight win streak35 yrsOrthodox72" reach6'1"
CFR 55

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Murzakanov

This is a genuine toss-up — Murzakanov at 57% vs Costa at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Costa throws more volume but Murzakanov connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Murzakanov
Costa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'1"
71"
Reach
+72"
37
Age
+35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Murzakanov
Costa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
72.4
55.3
64.3
Performance Avg
52.9
50
Quality of Victory
44
100
Momentum Score
59
Murzakanov
Costa
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.9
62%
Strike Accuracy
59%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.6
5 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
10
0
Body
4
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance15
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Murzakanov
Costa
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.9
0.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Murzakanov
Costa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
72
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/17 fights
Chin rating based on
12/20 fights
Murzakanov
Costa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
59
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Murzakanov
Costa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
63%
5
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Murzakanov
Costa
Striking10.0 / 7.6Volume3.0 / 4.3Grappling0.4 / 0.9Wrestling0.3 / 0.6Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure8.4 / 6.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.6
0.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.9
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
3.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.3
Murzakanov
Strike Zones
Costa
Murzakanov
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD4BODY1LEGS15 absorbed
Costa
Attacking
10HEAD4BODY1LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Murzakanov targets the head (100% of attacks) — Costa absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Costa targets the head (67% of attacks) — Murzakanov absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Murzakanov
RND
Costa
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Murzakanov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.5W5.5W5.9W6.1W5.2W5.1W5.0L2022-032023-042025-062026-04
WinLossTrend

Costa · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.0W5.2W5.2W5.2W4.5W3.5L6.3L4.5W6.4L6.6L5.5W7.4W2017-032018-072021-102024-062026-04
WinLossTrend

Murzakanov · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Paulo CostaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R1
Aleksandar RakicRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · KO · R1
Brendson RibeiroRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · KO · R2
Alonzo MenifieldRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Dustin JacobyRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04

Costa · Last 5

W · KO · R3
Azamat MurzakanovRating 7.4
KO/TKO
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Roman KopylovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Dec · R5
Sean StricklandRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Robert WhittakerRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
W · Dec · R3
Luke RockholdRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08

News & Media

Azamat Murzakanov · Paulo Costa
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