METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg
Miami, USA
11 Apr 2026
Light Heavyweight
VS
57%
Murzakanov
43%
Costa
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 1:23
★ Official Result
Paulo CostawinsKO/TKOR3 · 1:23
def. Azamat Murzakanov · UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Murzakanov
→
Actual result
Costa wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Murzakanov at 57% vs Costa at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MurzakanovCosta
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Murzakanov
Costa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'1"
71"
Reach
+72"
37
Age
+35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Murzakanov
Costa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
72.4
55.3
64.3
Performance Avg
52.9
50
Quality of Victory
44
100
Momentum Score
59
Murzakanov
Costa
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
10.0
/ 10
7.6
/ 10
8.4
Style: Pressure
6.4
3.0
Style: Volume
4.3
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
10
0
Body
4
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance15
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Murzakanov
Costa
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.4
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
0.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Murzakanov
Costa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
72
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/17 fights
Chin rating based on
12/20 fights
Murzakanov
Costa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
59
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Murzakanov
Costa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
63%
5
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Murzakanov
Costa
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.6
0.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.9
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
3.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.3
MurzakanovCosta
Strike Zones
Murzakanov
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedCosta
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Murzakanov targets the head (100% of attacks) — Costa absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Costa targets the head (67% of attacks) — Murzakanov absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Murzakanov
RND
Costa
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Murzakanov · Last 5
Upcoming
Dominick ReyesUFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · 2026-10
L · KO · R3
Paulo CostaKO/TKO
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R1
Aleksandar RakicKO/TKO
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W · KO · R1
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W · KO · R2
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Costa · Last 5
W · KO · R3
Azamat MurzakanovKO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
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W · Dec · R3
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