Hyder Amil vs Christian Rodriguez — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi

Las Vegas, USA

20 Jun 2026

Featherweight

48%

Amil

52%

Rodriguez

Win Probability

Submission

Round 1 · 3:43

Hyder Amil

"The Hurricane"

11 – 2

5'9"70" reachSwitch36 yrs3-fight slideStriker

CFR 50

Christian Rodriguez

"Ceerod"

12 – 4

Well-Rounded28 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'7"

CFR 55

★ Official Result

Christian RodriguezwinsSubmissionR1 · 3:43

def. Hyder Amil · UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Rodriguez

Hyder Amil by TKO, Round 1. He finds the opening on the feet and doesn't let Rod…

→

Actual result

Rodriguez wins

Submission · R1

Pre-fight analysis

A striker with a 67% finish rate faces a durable grappler who can slow things down.

Hyder Amil is a pure striker — style score of 7.87 makes him one of the more offensively minded 135-pounders on the roster, and a 67% finish rate backs that up. Rodriguez is the opposite: a grappling-and-wrestling fighter (3.52/2.46) who takes Amil into uncomfortable territory if he can drag the fight to the mat. This is a classic striker-vs-grappler matchup where the first exchange likely sets th…

Amil intel

Amil is in good form (momentum 68.5) with knockout power that ends fights quickly when he lands clean. His vulnerability is the takedown.

Rodriguez intel

Rodriguez is durable (chin 82) and his grappling tools are his primary weapon. He has managed strikers before but not at this finishing rate.

Key angles

Can Rodriguez take Amil down before the power becomes a factor?

Amil's accuracy off the back foot if Rodriguez shoots

Risk flags

If Rodriguez gets consistent takedowns, Amil's striking edge evaporates

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

AmilRodriguez

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Amil

Rodriguez

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'9"+

Height

5'7"

70"

Reach

+71"

Age

+28

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

Amil

Rodriguez

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

50.0

55.0

48.0

Performance Avg

44.8

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Amil

Rodriguez

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

7.7

/ 10

1.2

/ 10

6.2

Style: Pressure

4.1

3.7

Style: Volume

6.5

2 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

0 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

19Distance18

4Clinch0

0Ground2

Amil

Rodriguez

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

0.8

/ 10

4.3

/ 10

0.6

Wrestling Style (/10)

3.0

0.0

Submission Style (/10)

3.3

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Amil

Rodriguez

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Moderate

Verdict

Never stopped

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.0 stoppage

KO round context

—

2 fights ago

Last KO loss

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

6/13 fights

Chin rating based on

10/16 fights

Amil

Rodriguez

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

3-fight 📉 slide

Current form

L · Sub · R1

L · Dec · R3

L · KO · R1

W · Dec · R3

W · KO · R1

Last 5

W · Sub · R1

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

L · Sub · R1

Amil

Rodriguez

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

67%

33%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Amil

Rodriguez

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

7.7

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

1.2

0.8

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

4.3

0.6

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

3.0

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

3.3

6.2

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

4.1

3.7

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

6.5

Amil

Strike Zones

Rodriguez

Amil

Attacking

23 landed

Absorbing

20 absorbed

Rodriguez

Attacking

20 landed

Absorbing

23 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Amil targets the head (48% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 48% of strikes there

🎯Rodriguez targets the head (85% of attacks) — Amil absorbs 85% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Amil

RND

Rodriguez

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Amil · Last 5

L · Sub · R1

Christian Rodriguez

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06

L · Dec · R3

Jamall Emmers

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11

L · KO · R1

Jose Delgado

KO/TKO

UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06

W · Dec · R3

William Gomis

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03

W · KO · R1

JeongYeong Lee

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07

Rodriguez · Last 5

W · Sub · R1

Hyder Amil

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06

L · Dec · R3

Andre Fili

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08

L · Dec · R3

Melquizael Costa

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03

W · Dec · R3

Austin Bashi

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01

L · Sub · R1

Julian Erosa

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07

News & Media

Hyder Amil · Christian Rodriguez

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