UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
23 Jan 2021
Flyweight
VS
65%
Albazi
35%
Zhumagulov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Albazi
Albazi holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Zhumagulov has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Zhumagulov has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Striking split: Zhumagulov throws more volume but Albazi connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Zhumagulov has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Albazi
Zhumagulov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'4"
68"+
Reach
66"
32+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Albazi
Zhumagulov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
61.9
33.0
53.5
Performance Avg
38.1
42
Quality of Victory
54
82
Momentum Score
26
Albazi
Zhumagulov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
2.0
38%
Strike Accuracy
37%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
4
6
Body
6
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
20Distance10
1Clinch1
2Ground0
Albazi
Zhumagulov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.2
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
4.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Albazi
Zhumagulov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
68
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/20 fights
Chin rating based on
7/23 fights
Albazi
Zhumagulov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
82
26
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Albazi
Zhumagulov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Albazi
Zhumagulov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.3
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.3
AlbaziZhumagulov
Strike Zones
Albazi
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedZhumagulov
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Albazi targets the head (65% of attacks) — Zhumagulov absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Zhumagulov targets the body (55% of attacks) — Albazi absorbs 55% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Albazi
RND
Zhumagulov
0/0R00/0
Albazi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Zhumagulov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Albazi · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Kyoji HoriguchiRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · Dec · R5
Brandon MorenoRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
W · Dec · R5
Kai Kara-FranceRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
W · KO · R3
Alessandro CostaRating 6.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12
W · Sub · R1
Francisco FigueiredoRating 5Submission
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
Zhumagulov · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Joshua VanRating 7.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06
L · Dec · R3
Charles JohnsonRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
L · Dec · R3
Jeff MolinaRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · 2022-06
L · KO · R1
Manel KapeRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
W · Sub · R1
Jerome RiveraRating 5Submission
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07