UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann
Las Vegas, USA
22 Feb 2014
Welterweight
VS
54%
Whittaker
46%
Thompson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:43
Robert
Robert Whittaker
"The Reaper"
27 – 9
6'0"73" reachOrthodox35 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 53
Stephen
Stephen Thompson
"Wonderboy"
17 – 9
Well-Rounded3-fight slide43 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'0"
CFR 46

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Whittaker

This is a genuine toss-up — Whittaker at 54% vs Thompson at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Thompson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Whittaker's chin rating of 16 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Thompson has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Whittaker
Thompson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
73"
Reach
+75"
35+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Whittaker
Thompson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.4
46.3
56.0
Performance Avg
48.9
46
Quality of Victory
43
71
Momentum Score
45
Whittaker
Thompson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.7
44%
Strike Accuracy
47%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.1
6 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
28
0
Body
7
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
18Distance25
1Clinch6
0Ground7
Whittaker
Thompson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.6
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Whittaker
Thompson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
16
32
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/36 fights
Chin rating based on
22/26 fights
Whittaker
Thompson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
45
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R4
L · Dec · R3
Whittaker
Thompson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
35%
50%
6
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
0
11
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Whittaker
Thompson
Striking5.0 / 6.1Volume6.6 / 5.1Grappling1.6 / 1.2Wrestling1.1 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.6 / 5.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
Whittaker
Strike Zones
Thompson
Whittaker
Attacking
17HEAD0BODY2LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
28HEAD7BODY3LEGS38 absorbed
Thompson
Attacking
28HEAD7BODY3LEGS38 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD0BODY2LEGS19 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Whittaker targets the head (89% of attacks) — Thompson absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Thompson targets the head (74% of attacks) — Whittaker absorbs 74% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Whittaker
RND
Thompson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Whittaker · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0104.5W5.5W5.7L2.1L4.5W5.2W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.3W5.2W4.5W4.5W3.5L4.5W5.5W4.8W6.9L5.3W4.7L5.5W6.7W3.4L6.5L2012-122015-052018-062022-092025-07
WinLossTrend

Thompson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.0W5.9L4.5W5.2W5.9W4.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L2.1L6.0W5.5W5.7L6.6L6.0W4.8L5.2L7.2L2012-022015-072019-032023-122025-07
WinLossTrend

Whittaker · Last 5

Upcoming
Nikita Krylov
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Reinier de RidderRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Sub · R1
Khamzat ChimaevRating 3.4
Submission
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R1
Ikram AliskerovRating 6.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Paulo CostaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02

Thompson · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Gabriel BonfimRating 7.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Joaquin BuckleyRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Sub · R2
Shavkat RakhmonovRating 4.8
Submission
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
W · KO · R4
Kevin HollandRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12

News & Media

Robert Whittaker · Stephen Thompson
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