METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann
Las Vegas, USA
22 Feb 2014
Welterweight
VS
54%
Whittaker
46%
Thompson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:43
★ Official Result
Stephen ThompsonwinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:43
def. Robert Whittaker · UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Whittaker
→
Actual result
Thompson wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Whittaker at 54% vs Thompson at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Whittaker's chin rating of 16 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Thompson has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
WhittakerThompson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Whittaker
Thompson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
73"
Reach
+75"
35+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Whittaker
Thompson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.0
46.3
56.6
Performance Avg
48.9
46
Quality of Victory
43
71
Momentum Score
45
Whittaker
Thompson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.3
/ 10
6.1
/ 10
4.9
Style: Pressure
5.2
6.3
Style: Volume
5.1
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
28
0
Body
7
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
18Distance25
1Clinch6
0Ground7
Whittaker
Thompson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Whittaker
Thompson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
16
32
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/36 fights
Chin rating based on
22/26 fights
Whittaker
Thompson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
45
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R4
L · Dec · R3
Whittaker
Thompson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
39%
50%
7
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
0
11
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Whittaker
Thompson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
WhittakerThompson
Strike Zones
Whittaker
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
38 absorbedThompson
Attacking
38 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Whittaker targets the head (89% of attacks) — Thompson absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Thompson targets the head (74% of attacks) — Whittaker absorbs 74% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Whittaker
RND
Thompson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Whittaker · Last 5
W · KO · R3
Nikita KrylovKO/TKO
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Reinier de RidderDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Sub · R1
Khamzat ChimaevSubmission
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R1
Ikram AliskerovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Paulo CostaDecision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
Thompson · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gabriel BonfimDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Joaquin BuckleyKO/TKO
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Sub · R2
Shavkat RakhmonovSubmission
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
W · KO · R4
Kevin HollandKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12