UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis
Toronto, Canada
20 Jan 2024
Flyweight
VS
39%
Gordon
61%
Flick
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:17
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Flick
Flick holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Gordon has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Gordon throws more volume but Flick connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Gordon's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Flick has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Gordon
Flick
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
71"+
Reach
68"
36
Age
+35
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Gordon
Flick
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.5
44.7
36.9
Performance Avg
44.4
43
Quality of Victory
52
10
Momentum Score
20
Gordon
Flick
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.7
45%
Strike Accuracy
53%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
2
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
15Distance3
3Clinch0
0Ground0
Gordon
Flick
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.7
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Gordon
Flick
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
52
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/22 fights
Chin rating based on
6/26 fights
Gordon
Flick
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
10
20
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Gordon
Flick
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gordon
Flick
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
GordonFlick
Strike Zones
Gordon
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedFlick
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gordon targets the head (94% of attacks) — Flick absorbs 94% of strikes there
🎯Flick targets the head (67% of attacks) — Gordon absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gordon
RND
Flick
0/0R00/0
Gordon · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.6WinLossTrend
Flick · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Gordon · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Jimmy FlickRating 3.2Submission
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
L · KO · R1
Jake HadleyRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
L · Sub · R3
Muhammad MokaevRating 5.4Submission
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
W · KO · R1
Denys BondarRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
W · Dec · R3
Francisco FigueiredoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · 2021-07
Flick · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Matt SchnellRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Nate ManessRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
W · Sub · R2
Malcolm GordonRating 5.2Submission
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
L · KO · R2
Alessandro CostaRating 4.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06
L · KO · R1
Charles JohnsonRating 2.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov · 2023-01