UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3
Fort Campbell, USA
6 Nov 2013
Lightweight
VS
44%
Edwards
56%
Medeiros
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Medeiros
This is a genuine toss-up — Edwards at 44% vs Medeiros at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Medeiros throws more volume but Edwards connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Edwards's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Medeiros has a chin rating of 14 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Edwards
Medeiros
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
73"
Reach
+75"
49
Age
+38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Edwards
Medeiros
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.3
24.4
47.6
Performance Avg
45.4
46
Quality of Victory
47
85
Momentum Score
39
Edwards
Medeiros
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
2.0
47%
Strike Accuracy
37%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
5 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
14
4
Body
10
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
18Distance22
1Clinch0
0Ground3
Edwards
Medeiros
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.4
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Edwards
Medeiros
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
14
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/64 fights
Chin rating based on
15/23 fights
Edwards
Medeiros
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
39
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Edwards
Medeiros
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
83%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Edwards
Medeiros
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.4
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.1
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.1
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.2
EdwardsMedeiros
Strike Zones
Edwards
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedMedeiros
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Edwards targets the head (58% of attacks) — Medeiros absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Medeiros targets the head (56% of attacks) — Edwards absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Edwards
RND
Medeiros
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Edwards · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Medeiros · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Edwards · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Akbarh ArreolaRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson · 2014-11
L · Sub · R3
Piotr HallmannRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06
Upcoming
Yancy MedeirosUFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3 · 2013-11
L · Dec · R3
Daron CruickshankRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga · 2013-07
L · Dec · R3
Isaac Vallie-FlaggRating 5.5Decision
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar · 2013-02
Medeiros · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Damir HadzovicRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Lando VannataRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
L · KO · R2
Gregor GillespieRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
L · KO · R1
Donald CerroneRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02
W · KO · R3
Alex OliveiraRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2 · 2017-12