UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2
Las Vegas, USA
15 Mar 2025
Bantamweight
VS
58%
Blackshear
42%
Gibson
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:09
Da'Mon
Da'Mon Blackshear
"The Monster"
17 – 8
5'10"72" reachSwitch31 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 55
Cody
Cody Gibson
"The Renegade"
22 – 12
Well-Rounded2-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'10"
CFR 40

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Blackshear

This is a genuine toss-up — Blackshear at 58% vs Gibson at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Blackshear throws more volume but Gibson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Gibson has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Blackshear
Gibson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
72"+
Reach
71"
31+
Age
38
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Blackshear
Gibson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.1
39.9
50.7
Performance Avg
39.8
48
Quality of Victory
46
56
Momentum Score
25
Blackshear
Gibson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.4
45%
Strike Accuracy
46%
3.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.9
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
7
1
Body
3
0
Leg
5
RangeRange
6Distance10
1Clinch5
0Ground0
Blackshear
Gibson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.5
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
3.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Blackshear
Gibson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
46
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/25 fights
Chin rating based on
10/34 fights
Blackshear
Gibson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
25
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Blackshear
Gibson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Blackshear
Gibson
Striking3.1 / 3.9Volume2.7 / 3.3Grappling5.3 / 3.5Wrestling3.7 / 2.4Submission6.0 / 3.3Pressure7.3 / 5.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.9
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
6.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
2.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
Blackshear
Strike Zones
Gibson
Blackshear
Attacking
6HEAD1BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD3BODY5LEGS15 absorbed
Gibson
Attacking
7HEAD3BODY5LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD1BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Blackshear targets the head (86% of attacks) — Gibson absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Gibson targets the head (47% of attacks) — Blackshear absorbs 47% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Blackshear
RND
Gibson
0/0R00/0

Blackshear · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0107.0L5.7W5.6W6.6L2.4L5.0W5.5W5.1W6.3L2023-032023-082025-032025-07
WinLossTrend

Gibson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0106.5L5.0W2.8L5.7L5.9L5.5L5.3W4.9W3.8L2.3L2014-022015-022024-072025-10
WinLossTrend

Blackshear · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Davey GrantRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · Dec · R3
AlatengheiliRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
W · Sub · R2
Cody GibsonRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · Sub · R1
Cody StamannRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · KO · R1
Montel JacksonRating 2.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07

Gibson · Last 5

L · KO · R1
AoriqilengRating 2.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Sub · R2
Da'Mon BlackshearRating 3.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Chad AnheligerRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
W · Sub · R1
Brian KelleherRating 5.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Miles JohnsRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03

News & Media

Da'Mon Blackshear · Cody Gibson
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