UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado
Sao Paulo, Brazil
31 May 2014
Heavyweight
VS
96%
Lima
4%
Moreira
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:20
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Lima
Lima is a strong favourite at 96% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 45 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Lima has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 49 points.
Lima has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Lima's chin rating of 16 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lima
Moreira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
75"
Reach
40+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lima
Moreira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.3
2.1
53.8
Performance Avg
0.0
49
Quality of Victory
0
59
Momentum Score
0
Lima
Moreira
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
0.5
60%
Strike Accuracy
29%
6.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
1
4
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
4Clinch3
2Ground0
Lima
Moreira
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lima
Moreira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
16
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/32 fights
Chin rating based on
2/11 fights
Lima
Moreira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Lima
Moreira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
73%
0%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lima
Moreira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
LimaMoreira
Strike Zones
Lima
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedMoreira
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lima targets the body (57% of attacks) — Moreira absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Moreira targets the body (67% of attacks) — Lima absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lima
RND
Moreira
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Lima · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Moreira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Lima · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Junior TafaRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · KO · R1
Derrick LewisRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
W · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon · 2023-04
W · Sub · R1
Andrei ArlovskiRating 5.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
L · Dec · R3
Blagoy IvanovRating 5.5Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
Moreira · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Ildemar AlcantaraRating 5.5Decision
UFC 183: Silva vs Diaz · 2015-01
L · KO · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · 2014-05