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UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley
Atlanta, USA
14 Jun 2025
Women's Flyweight
VS
56%
Horth
44%
Demopoulos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Jamey-Lyn
Jamey-Lyn Horth
93
5'7"66" reachOrthodox36 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 48
Vanessa
Vanessa Demopoulos
"Lil Monster"
118
Well-Rounded3-fight slide37 yrsOrthodox59" reach5'2"
CFR 38
★ Official Result
Jamey-Lyn HorthwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Vanessa Demopoulos · UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Horth
Actual result
Horth wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Horth at 56% vs Demopoulos at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Horth has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
HorthDemopoulos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Horth
Demopoulos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'2"
66"+
Reach
59"
36+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Horth
Demopoulos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.4
38.0
43.1
Performance Avg
38.5
34
Quality of Victory
31
60
Momentum Score
30
Horth
Demopoulos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
1.1
49%
Strike Accuracy
41%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
8
9
Body
3
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
27Distance11
3Clinch0
3Ground0
Horth
Demopoulos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Horth
Demopoulos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
80
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Strikes absorbed / min
7/12 fights
Chin rating based on
10/19 fights
Horth
Demopoulos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
30
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Horth
Demopoulos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
20%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Horth
Demopoulos
Striking3.6 / 1.0Volume7.1 / 7.4Grappling1.8 / 3.5Wrestling1.3 / 2.5Submission0.0 / 2.0Pressure3.5 / 2.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.9
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.4
Horth
Strike Zones
Demopoulos
Horth
Attacking
20HEAD9BODY4LEGS33 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD3BODY0LEGS11 absorbed
Demopoulos
Attacking
8HEAD3BODY0LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD9BODY4LEGS33 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Horth targets the head (61% of attacks) — Demopoulos absorbs 61% of strikes there
🎯Demopoulos targets the head (73% of attacks) — Horth absorbs 73% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Horth
RND
Demopoulos
0/0R00/0

Horth · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0104.5W5.8L4.9W6.3L4.7W5.0W6.1L2023-042024-112025-062026-04
WinLossTrend

Demopoulos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0106.1L5.0W4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W3.3L6.7L6.2L2021-082022-112024-052025-06
WinLossTrend

Horth · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
JJ AldrichRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
W · KO · R1
Tereza BledaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · Dec · R3
Vanessa DemopoulosRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Miranda MaverickRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Ivana PetrovicRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11

Demopoulos · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Jamey-Lyn HorthRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Talita AlencarRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Sub · R1
Jaqueline AmorimRating 3.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Emily DucoteRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Kanako MurataRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · 2023-10

News & Media

Jamey-Lyn Horth · Vanessa Demopoulos
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