Gunnar Nelson vs Zak Cummings — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Brandao

Dublin, Ireland

19 Jul 2014

Welterweight

57%

Nelson

43%

Cummings

Win Probability

Submission

Round 2 · 4:48

Gunnar Nelson

"Gunni"

19 – 6

5'11"72" reachSwitch38 yrsSubmission Hunter

CFR 57

Zak Cummings

25 – 7

Well-Rounded2-fight win streak42 yrsSouthpaw75" reach6'0"

CFR 43

★ Official Result

Gunnar NelsonwinsSubmissionR2 · 4:48

def. Zak Cummings · UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Brandao

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Nelson

→

Actual result

Nelson wins

Submission · R2

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Nelson at 57% vs Cummings at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Nelson's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

NelsonCummings

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Nelson

Cummings

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'11"

Height

+6'0"

72"

Reach

+75"

38+

Age

Switch

Stance

Southpaw

Nelson

Cummings

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

56.8

42.5

52.8

Performance Avg

53.3

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Nelson

Cummings

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.3

/ 10

3.4

/ 10

7.5

Style: Pressure

6.3

2.9

Style: Volume

4.6

0 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

2 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

4Distance4

1Clinch5

2Ground0

Nelson

Cummings

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

6.9

/ 10

4.2

/ 10

4.8

Wrestling Style (/10)

2.9

8.0

Submission Style (/10)

4.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Nelson

Cummings

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Moderate

Verdict

Never stopped

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.0 stoppage

KO round context

—

6 fights ago

Last KO loss

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

16/25 fights

Chin rating based on

14/32 fights

Nelson

Cummings

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

Current form

2-fight 🔥 win streak

L · Dec · R3

W · Sub · R1

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

Last 5

W · KO · R3

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

W · Sub · R3

W · Dec · R3

Nelson

Cummings

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

80%

60%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Nelson

Cummings

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

1.3

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

3.4

6.9

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

4.2

4.8

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

2.9

8.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

4.0

7.5

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

6.3

2.9

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

4.6

Nelson

Strike Zones

Cummings

Nelson

Attacking

7 landed

Absorbing

9 absorbed

Cummings

Attacking

9 landed

Absorbing

7 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Nelson targets the head (71% of attacks) — Cummings absorbs 71% of strikes there

🎯Cummings targets the legs (56% of attacks) — Nelson absorbs 56% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Nelson

RND

Cummings

0/0R00/0

Nelson · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Kevin Holland

Decision

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Bryan Barberena

Submission

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W · Dec · R3

Takashi Sato

Decision

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L · Dec · R3

Gilbert Burns

Decision

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L · Dec · R3

Leon Edwards

Decision

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Cummings · Last 5

W · KO · R3

Ed Herman

KO/TKO

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W · Dec · R3

Alessio Di Chirico

Decision

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L · Dec · R3

Omari Akhmedov

Decision

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Trevin Giles

Submission

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Trevor Smith

Decision

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News & Media

Gunnar Nelson · Zak Cummings

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