METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi
Montreal, Canada
25 Apr 2015
Women's Strawweight
VS
46%
Markos
54%
Daly
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Randa MarkoswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Aisling Daly · UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Daly
→
Actual result
Markos wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Markos at 46% vs Daly at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Daly has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Daly has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Markos's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MarkosDaly
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Markos
Daly
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"+
Height
5'2"
63"
Reach
+64"
40
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Markos
Daly
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.7
20.0
34.0
Performance Avg
50.4
29
Quality of Victory
40
15
Momentum Score
70
Markos
Daly
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
1.5
42%
Strike Accuracy
58%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
2
1
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch4
4Ground0
Markos
Daly
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
2.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Markos
Daly
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/23 fights
Chin rating based on
3/22 fights
Markos
Daly
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
70
W · Dec · R3
L · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Markos
Daly
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
14%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Markos
Daly
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
2.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
7.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
MarkosDaly
Strike Zones
Markos
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedDaly
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Markos targets the head (83% of attacks) — Daly absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Daly targets the body (60% of attacks) — Markos absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Markos
RND
Daly
0/0R00/0
Markos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Daly · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Markos · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Livinha SouzaRating 4.5Decision
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L · R1
Luana PinheiroRating 4UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka · 2021-05
L · Dec · R3
Kanako MurataRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos Anjos · 2020-11
L · Sub · R1
Mackenzie DernRating 2.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
L · Dec · R3
Amanda RibasRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
Daly · Last 3
W · Dec · R3
Ericka AlmeidaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka · 2015-10
L · Dec · R3
Randa MarkosRating 5.5Decision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04
W · Sub · R1
Alex ChambersRating 5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: A Champion Will Be Crowned Finale · 2014-12