METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi
Montreal, Canada
25 Apr 2015
Women's Strawweight
VS
46%
Markos
54%
Daly
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Randa MarkoswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Aisling Daly · UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Daly
→
Actual result
Markos wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Markos at 46% vs Daly at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Daly has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Risk flags
Markos's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MarkosDaly
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Markos
Daly
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"+
Height
5'2"
63"
Reach
+64"
41
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Markos
Daly
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.7
20.0
34.0
Performance Avg
50.4
29
Quality of Victory
40
15
Momentum Score
70
Markos
Daly
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
1.3
/ 10
2.2
Style: Pressure
5.5
7.7
Style: Volume
5.3
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
2
1
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch4
4Ground0
Markos
Daly
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.2
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
1.4
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Markos
Daly
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/23 fights
Chin rating based on
3/22 fights
Markos
Daly
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
70
W · Dec · R3
L · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Markos
Daly
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
14%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Markos
Daly
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
2.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
7.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
MarkosDaly
Strike Zones
Markos
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedDaly
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Markos targets the head (83% of attacks) — Daly absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Daly targets the body (60% of attacks) — Markos absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Markos
RND
Daly
0/0R00/0
Markos · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Livinha SouzaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
L · R1
Luana PinheiroUFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka · 2021-05
L · Dec · R3
Kanako MurataDecision
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos Anjos · 2020-11
L · Sub · R1
Mackenzie DernSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
L · Dec · R3
Amanda RibasDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
Daly · Last 3
W · Dec · R3
Ericka AlmeidaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka · 2015-10
L · Dec · R3
Randa MarkosDecision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04
W · Sub · R1
Alex ChambersSubmission
The Ultimate Fighter: A Champion Will Be Crowned Finale · 2014-12