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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. The Korean Zombie
Greenville, USA
22 Jun 2019
Lightweight
VS
46%
Wiman
54%
Pena
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 1:14
MW
Matt Wiman
16 – 10
5'10"68" reachOrthodox42 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 15
LP
Luis Pena
"Violent Bob Ross"
9 – 3
Well-Rounded33 yrsSouthpaw75" reach6'3"
CFR 18
★ Official Result
Luis PenawinsKO/TKOR3 · 1:14
def. Matt Wiman · UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. The Korean Zombie

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pena
→
Actual result
Pena wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Wiman at 46% vs Pena at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Pena throws more volume but Wiman connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Wiman's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
WimanPena
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Wiman
Pena
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'3"
68"
Reach
+75"
42
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Wiman
Pena
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.4
18.3
46.3
Performance Avg
46.5
40
Quality of Victory
36
54
Momentum Score
68
Wiman
Pena
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
1.2
49%
Strike Accuracy
44%
3.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
22
1
Body
1
6
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance10
0Clinch0
0Ground13
Wiman
Pena
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
3.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.0
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Wiman
Pena
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
84
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/26 fights
Chin rating based on
8/12 fights
Wiman
Pena
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
54
68
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Wiman
Pena
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
40%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Wiman
Pena
Striking3.1 / 3.3Volume5.1 / 6.0Grappling3.6 / 3.0Wrestling2.5 / 2.1Submission3.0 / 2.0Pressure5.2 / 4.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
3.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
Wiman
Strike Zones
Pena
Wiman
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY6LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
22HEAD1BODY0LEGS23 absorbed
Pena
Attacking
22HEAD1BODY0LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY6LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Wiman targets the legs (86% of attacks) — Pena absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Pena targets the head (96% of attacks) — Wiman absorbs 96% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Wiman
RND
Pena
0/0R00/0

Wiman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0102.8L5.0W4.5W5.0W5.2W5.9L5.5L4.5W5.0W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.0W1.5L4.5W4.0L6.2L3.0L2006-052008-122011-072019-062020-12
WinLossTrend

Pena · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.0W5.5L4.5W5.5W5.7L6.4W4.0L4.5W2018-072019-032019-102020-062021-04
WinLossTrend

Wiman · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Jordan LeavittRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
L · Dec · R3
Joe SoleckiRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
L · KO · R3
Luis PenaRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Isaac Vallie-FlaggRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson · 2014-11
L · KO · R1
TJ GrantRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01

Pena · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Alexander MunozRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Gastelum · 2021-04
L · Sub · R3
Khama WorthyRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker · 2020-06
W · Dec · R3
Steve GarciaRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · 2020-02
L · Dec · R3
Matt FrevolaRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson · 2019-10
W · KO · R3
Matt WimanRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-06

News & Media

Matt Wiman · Luis Pena
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