UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards
Kallang, Singapore
23 Jun 2018
Welterweight
VS
19%
Anzai
81%
Matthews
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:44
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Matthews
Matthews is a strong favourite at 81% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 42 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Matthews has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Anzai has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Anzai's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Matthews has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Anzai
Matthews
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
+73"
40
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Anzai
Matthews
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.3
55.4
35.0
Performance Avg
48.3
25
Quality of Victory
37
55
Momentum Score
100
Anzai
Matthews
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
1.2
63%
Strike Accuracy
46%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
9
1
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance5
1Clinch5
0Ground2
Anzai
Matthews
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Anzai
Matthews
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
24
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
18 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/13 fights
Chin rating based on
24/30 fights
Anzai
Matthews
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
100
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Anzai
Matthews
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
47%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
6
2
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Anzai
Matthews
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
AnzaiMatthews
Strike Zones
Anzai
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedMatthews
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Anzai targets the body (100% of attacks) — Matthews absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Matthews targets the head (75% of attacks) — Anzai absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Anzai
RND
Matthews
0/0R00/0
Anzai · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.3WinLossTrend
Matthews · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Anzai · Last 4
L · Sub · R1
Jake MatthewsRating 2.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards · 2018-06
W · Dec · R3
Luke JumeauRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · 2017-09
W · R3
Roger ZapataRating 4.5UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09
L · KO · R1
Alberto MinaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le · 2014-08
Matthews · Last 5
Upcoming
Muslim SalikhovUFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
L · Sub · R3
Neil MagnyRating 4.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · Sub · R1
Chidi NjokuaniRating 6.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · Dec · R3
Francisco PradoRating 5.2Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Phil RoweRating 5.6Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06