METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards
Kallang, Singapore
23 Jun 2018
Welterweight
VS
19%
Anzai
81%
Matthews
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:44
★ Official Result
Jake MatthewswinsSubmissionR1 · 2:44
def. Shinsho Anzai · UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Matthews
→
Actual result
Matthews wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Matthews is a strong favourite at 81% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 42 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Matthews has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Risk flags
Anzai's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Matthews has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AnzaiMatthews
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Anzai
Matthews
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
+73"
40
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Anzai
Matthews
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.3
55.2
35.0
Performance Avg
48.4
25
Quality of Victory
36
55
Momentum Score
100
Anzai
Matthews
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
1.5
Style: Pressure
5.1
5.0
Style: Volume
5.3
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
9
1
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance5
1Clinch5
0Ground2
Anzai
Matthews
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
4.2
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.9
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.8
0
Submission wins
6
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Anzai
Matthews
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
24
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
18 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/13 fights
Chin rating based on
24/30 fights
Anzai
Matthews
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
100
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Anzai
Matthews
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
44%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
6
2
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Anzai
Matthews
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
AnzaiMatthews
Strike Zones
Anzai
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedMatthews
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Anzai targets the body (100% of attacks) — Matthews absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Matthews targets the head (75% of attacks) — Anzai absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Anzai
RND
Matthews
0/0R00/0
Anzai · Last 4
L · Sub · R1
Jake MatthewsSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards · 2018-06
W · Dec · R3
Luke JumeauDecision
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · 2017-09
W · R3
Roger ZapataUFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09
L · KO · R1
Alberto MinaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le · 2014-08
Matthews · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Carlston HarrisDecision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
L · Sub · R3
Neil MagnySubmission
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W · Sub · R1
Chidi NjokuaniSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · Dec · R3
Francisco PradoDecision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Phil RoweDecision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06