UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena
Denver, USA
28 Jan 2017
Women's Bantamweight
VS
49%
Shevchenko
51%
Pena
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:29
Valentina
Valentina Shevchenko
"Bullet"
26 – 4
5'5"66" reachSouthpaw38 yrs3-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 62
Julianna
Julianna Pena
"The Venezuelan Vixen"
13 – 6
Well-Rounded36 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'6"
CFR 66

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Pena

This is a genuine toss-up — Shevchenko at 49% vs Pena at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Pena throws more volume but Shevchenko connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Pena has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Shevchenko
Pena
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'6"
66"
Reach
+69"
38
Age
+36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Shevchenko
Pena
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
62.2
65.6
66.5
Performance Avg
58.0
55
Quality of Victory
52
53
Momentum Score
100
Shevchenko
Pena
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.7
58%
Strike Accuracy
50%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.8
4 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
2
4
Body
5
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
4Clinch5
0Ground2
Shevchenko
Pena
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.5
/ 10
3.2
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.2
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
2
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Shevchenko
Pena
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
62
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
3
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/30 fights
Chin rating based on
12/19 fights
Shevchenko
Pena
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
100
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Upcoming
L · Sub · R4
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R3
Shevchenko
Pena
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
50%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
2
9
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Shevchenko
Pena
Striking4.3 / 3.8Volume6.5 / 5.3Grappling2.5 / 3.2Wrestling1.8 / 2.2Submission1.3 / 2.5Pressure5.3 / 5.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.8
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
Shevchenko
Strike Zones
Pena
Shevchenko
Attacking
0HEAD4BODY1LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD5BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Pena
Attacking
2HEAD5BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD4BODY1LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Shevchenko targets the body (80% of attacks) — Pena absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Pena targets the body (71% of attacks) — Shevchenko absorbs 71% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Shevchenko
RND
Pena
0/0R00/0

Shevchenko · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0104.5W6.7L4.6W6.7W6.7L6.2W4.5W5.1W4.5W5.6W4.5W5.9W6.2W4.7W4.6L5.7W6.1W6.3W2015-122018-022020-112024-092025-11
WinLossTrend

Pena · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0W5.0W4.5W4.5W3.5L4.5W5.2L5.5W6.3W6.7L5.1W4.3L2013-112016-072020-102022-072025-06
WinLossTrend

Shevchenko · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Zhang WeiliRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R5
Manon FiorotRating 6.1
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Dec · R5
Alexa GrassoRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
Upcoming
Alexa Grasso
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09
L · Sub · R4
Alexa GrassoRating 4.6
Submission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03

Pena · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Kayla HarrisonRating 4.3
Submission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Raquel PenningtonRating 5.1
Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Dec · R5
Amanda NunesRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · 2022-07
W · Sub · R2
Amanda NunesRating 6.3
Submission
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
W · Sub · R3
Sara McMannRating 5.5
Submission
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01

News & Media

Valentina Shevchenko · Julianna Pena
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