UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira
Las Vegas, USA
15 Jun 2024
Welterweight
VS
53%
Quinlan
47%
Fugitt
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Josh
Josh Quinlan
"Bushido"
6 – 3
6'0"72" reachOrthodox33 yrs3-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 44
Adam
Adam Fugitt
10 – 6
Well-Rounded2-fight slide37 yrsSouthpaw77" reach6'1"
CFR 39

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Quinlan

This is a genuine toss-up — Quinlan at 53% vs Fugitt at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Quinlan has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.

Fugitt has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Fugitt has a chin rating of 22 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Quinlan
Fugitt
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
72"
Reach
+77"
33+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Quinlan
Fugitt
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.7
39.1
46.0
Performance Avg
38.8
60
Quality of Victory
43
22
Momentum Score
41
Quinlan
Fugitt
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
2.6
35%
Strike Accuracy
47%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
17
4
Body
13
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
14Distance31
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Quinlan
Fugitt
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Quinlan
Fugitt
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
22
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/9 fights
Chin rating based on
6/16 fights
Quinlan
Fugitt
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
22
41
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Quinlan
Fugitt
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Quinlan
Fugitt
Striking10.0 / 5.7Volume0.5 / 4.7Grappling0.0 / 1.2Wrestling0.0 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure7.8 / 4.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
Quinlan
Strike Zones
Fugitt
Quinlan
Attacking
9HEAD4BODY1LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD13BODY1LEGS31 absorbed
Fugitt
Attacking
17HEAD13BODY1LEGS31 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD4BODY1LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Quinlan targets the head (64% of attacks) — Fugitt absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Fugitt targets the head (55% of attacks) — Quinlan absorbs 55% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Quinlan
RND
Fugitt
0/0R00/0

Quinlan · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.0W6.1L4.7L5.7L2022-082023-042024-022024-06
WinLossTrend

Fugitt · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0106.1L5.0W4.5L4.9W3.9L3.9L2022-072023-022023-062024-062025-072026-01
WinLossTrend

Quinlan · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Adam FugittRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
L · KO · R3
Danny BarlowRating 4.7
KO/TKO
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · Dec · R3
Trey WatersRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon · 2023-04
W · KO · R1
Jason WittRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz · 2022-08

Fugitt · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Ty MillerRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
L · KO · R1
Islam DulatovRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · Dec · R3
Josh QuinlanRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
L · Sub · R2
Mike MalottRating 4.5
Submission
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06
W · KO · R1
Yusaku KinoshitaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac · 2023-02

News & Media

Josh Quinlan · Adam Fugitt
← Back to fights