METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega
Fresno, USA
9 Dec 2017
Bantamweight
VS
18%
Saenz
82%
Dvalishvili
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Frankie SaenzwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Merab Dvalishvili · UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Dvalishvili
→
Actual result
Saenz wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Dvalishvili is a strong favourite at 82% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 47 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Saenz's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SaenzDvalishvili
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Saenz
Dvalishvili
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
66"
Reach
+68"
46
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Saenz
Dvalishvili
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.7
60.4
35.0
Performance Avg
53.2
25
Quality of Victory
34
75
Momentum Score
100
Saenz
Dvalishvili
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.5
Style: Pressure
3.5
9.0
Style: Volume
8.5
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
9
6
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance7
8Clinch4
1Ground0
Saenz
Dvalishvili
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.7
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Saenz
Dvalishvili
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
84
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/20 fights
Chin rating based on
18/26 fights
Saenz
Dvalishvili
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
Saenz
Dvalishvili
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
14%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
12
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Saenz
Dvalishvili
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.4
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
SaenzDvalishvili
Strike Zones
Saenz
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedDvalishvili
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Saenz targets the head (59% of attacks) — Dvalishvili absorbs 59% of strikes there
🎯Dvalishvili targets the head (82% of attacks) — Saenz absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Saenz
RND
Dvalishvili
0/0R00/0
Saenz · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Jonathan MartinezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Shahbazyan · 2020-08
L · KO · R1
Marlon VeraKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Henry BrionesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Merab DvalishviliDecision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12
L · Dec · R3
Augusto MendesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01
Dvalishvili · Last 5
Upcoming
Petr YanUFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · 2026-10
L · Dec · R5
Petr YanDecision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R5
Cory SandhagenDecision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Sub · R3
Sean O'MalleySubmission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Umar NurmagomedovDecision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01