UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 2
Killeen, USA
22 Jan 2011
Lightweight
VS
48%
McKenzie
52%
Edwards
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:33
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Edwards
This is a genuine toss-up — McKenzie at 48% vs Edwards at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Edwards has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
McKenzie's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Edwards has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
McKenzie
Edwards
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'9"
72"
Reach
+73"
38+
Age
49
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
McKenzie
Edwards
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.1
19.3
43.7
Performance Avg
47.6
44
Quality of Victory
46
72
Momentum Score
85
McKenzie
Edwards
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.3
32%
Strike Accuracy
47%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
8
1
Body
5
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
2Distance12
1Clinch1
4Ground2
McKenzie
Edwards
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.9
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
6.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.3
4.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
McKenzie
Edwards
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
30
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/26 fights
Chin rating based on
21/64 fights
McKenzie
Edwards
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
85
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
McKenzie
Edwards
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
70%
0
KO / TKO Wins
5
2
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
McKenzie
Edwards
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
6.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.3
4.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
McKenzieEdwards
Strike Zones
McKenzie
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedEdwards
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯McKenzie targets the head (86% of attacks) — Edwards absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Edwards targets the head (53% of attacks) — McKenzie absorbs 53% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
McKenzie
RND
Edwards
0/0R00/0
McKenzie · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Edwards · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
McKenzie · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sam StoutRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavidez 2 · 2013-12
W · Dec · R3
Leonard GarciaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · 2013-04
L · KO · R1
Chad MendesRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
W · Sub · R1
Marcus LeVesseurRating 5Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier · 2012-05
L · Sub · R2
Vagner RochaRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger · 2011-09
Edwards · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Akbarh ArreolaRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson · 2014-11
L · Sub · R3
Piotr HallmannRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06
Upcoming
Yancy MedeirosUFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3 · 2013-11
L · Dec · R3
Daron CruickshankRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga · 2013-07
L · Dec · R3
Isaac Vallie-FlaggRating 5.5Decision
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar · 2013-02