UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier
Las Vegas, USA
11 Dec 2021
Bantamweight
VS
59%
Munhoz
41%
Cruz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Pedro
Pedro Munhoz
"The Young Punisher"
20 – 10
5'6"65" reachOrthodox39 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 44
DC
Dominick Cruz
"The Dominator"
24 – 4
Well-Rounded41 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'8"
CFR 31

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Munhoz

This is a genuine toss-up — Munhoz at 59% vs Cruz at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Munhoz has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Cruz has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Munhoz
Cruz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
65"
Reach
+68"
39+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Munhoz
Cruz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.0
31.2
46.2
Performance Avg
50.3
44
Quality of Victory
37
43
Momentum Score
100
Munhoz
Cruz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.1
42%
Strike Accuracy
39%
4.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.8
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
31
3
Body
6
4
Leg
6
RangeRange
26Distance43
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Munhoz
Cruz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.1
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Munhoz
Cruz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
54
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/30 fights
Chin rating based on
10/28 fights
Munhoz
Cruz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
Munhoz
Cruz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
14%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Munhoz
Cruz
Striking4.0 / 2.8Volume4.2 / 8.3Grappling3.4 / 2.1Wrestling2.4 / 1.4Submission3.0 / 0.0Pressure5.7 / 3.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.8
3.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
3.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.3
Munhoz
Strike Zones
Cruz
Munhoz
Attacking
19HEAD3BODY4LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
31HEAD6BODY6LEGS43 absorbed
Cruz
Attacking
31HEAD6BODY6LEGS43 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD3BODY4LEGS26 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Munhoz targets the head (73% of attacks) — Cruz absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Cruz targets the head (72% of attacks) — Munhoz absorbs 72% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Munhoz
RND
Cruz
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Munhoz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.5L5.0W5.5L5.0W5.2W4.5W6.2W5.5L4.5W5.0W6.1W6.5L5.5L4.5W6.0L5.5L5.0W6.3L6.2L6.6L2014-022017-052019-032021-122024-11
WinLossTrend

Cruz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W4.5W5.0W4.6W4.5W6.6L3.6L4.5W5.0W4.2L2011-072016-012020-052022-08
WinLossTrend

Munhoz · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Aiemann ZahabiRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Kyler PhillipsRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Marlon VeraRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
W · Dec · R3
Chris GutierrezRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
Upcoming
Sean O'Malley
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07

Cruz · Last 5

L · KO · R4
Marlon VeraRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz · 2022-08
W · Dec · R3
Pedro MunhozRating 5
Decision
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
W · Dec · R3
Casey KenneyRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
L · KO · R2
Henry CejudoRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · Dec · R5
Cody GarbrandtRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12

News & Media

Pedro Munhoz · Dominick Cruz
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