METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
Las Vegas, USA
5 Mar 2022
Featherweight
VS
44%
Barboza
56%
Mitchell
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Bryce MitchellwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Edson Barboza · UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Mitchell
→
Actual result
Mitchell wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Barboza at 44% vs Mitchell at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Barboza's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Mitchell has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BarbozaMitchell
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Barboza
Mitchell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
75"+
Reach
70"
40
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Barboza
Mitchell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.6
57.3
45.7
Performance Avg
50.2
40
Quality of Victory
32
60
Momentum Score
100
Barboza
Mitchell
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.1
/ 10
2.5
/ 10
5.1
Style: Pressure
4.4
5.1
Style: Volume
7.1
9 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
12
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance2
0Clinch0
1Ground11
Barboza
Mitchell
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Barboza
Mitchell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
54
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
5
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
33/38 fights
Chin rating based on
13/22 fights
Barboza
Mitchell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
100
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
Barboza
Mitchell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
30%
9
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
2
9
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Barboza
Mitchell
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.5
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
BarbozaMitchell
Strike Zones
Barboza
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedMitchell
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Barboza targets the head (50% of attacks) — Mitchell absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Mitchell targets the head (92% of attacks) — Barboza absorbs 92% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Barboza
RND
Mitchell
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Barboza · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Esteban RibovicsKO/TKO
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · 2026-08
L · KO · R1
Jalin TurnerKO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Drakkar KloseDecision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Dec · R5
Lerone MurphyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
W · Dec · R5
Sodiq YusuffDecision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
Mitchell · Last 5
W · Sub · R3
Santiago LunaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Said NurmagomedovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Sub · R2
Jean SilvaSubmission
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · KO · R3
Kron GracieKO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
L · KO · R1
Josh EmmettKO/TKO
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12