UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira
Las Vegas, USA
7 Feb 2026
Welterweight
VS
47%
Veretennikov
53%
Price
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:42
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Price
This is a genuine toss-up — Veretennikov at 47% vs Price at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Price throws more volume but Veretennikov connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Veretennikov's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Price has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Veretennikov
Price
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
74"
Reach
+76"
36
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Veretennikov
Price
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.5
48.4
38.8
Performance Avg
46.0
43
Quality of Victory
49
51
Momentum Score
65
Veretennikov
Price
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
2.6
59%
Strike Accuracy
46%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
7
6
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
10Distance9
9Clinch0
0Ground0
Veretennikov
Price
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Veretennikov
Price
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/22 fights
Chin rating based on
21/27 fights
Veretennikov
Price
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
65
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Veretennikov
Price
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
75%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Veretennikov
Price
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
VeretennikovPrice
Strike Zones
Veretennikov
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedPrice
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Veretennikov targets the head (63% of attacks) — Price absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Price targets the head (78% of attacks) — Veretennikov absorbs 78% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Veretennikov
RND
Price
0/0R00/0
Veretennikov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Price · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Veretennikov · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Khaos WilliamsRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
W · KO · R1
Niko PriceRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Punahele SorianoRating 6.5Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Francisco PradoRating 5.2Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · KO · R2
Austin VanderfordRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
Price · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Michael ChiesaRating 2.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Nikolay VeretennikovRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · Sub · R2
Jacobe SmithRating 5.1Submission
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Themba GorimboRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 4.5Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06

