METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey
Las Vegas, USA
30 Dec 2016
Welterweight
VS
26%
Hendricks
74%
Magny
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Neil MagnywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Johny Hendricks · UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Magny
→
Actual result
Magny wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Magny is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 32 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Hendricks's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Magny has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HendricksMagny
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Hendricks
Magny
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'3"
69"
Reach
+80"
42
Age
+39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Hendricks
Magny
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.8
49.4
48.2
Performance Avg
48.3
39
Quality of Victory
37
80
Momentum Score
81
Hendricks
Magny
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.1
/ 10
4.5
/ 10
4.5
Style: Pressure
5.0
6.2
Style: Volume
5.8
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
8 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
17
0
Body
11
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
4Distance18
1Clinch1
1Ground11
Hendricks
Magny
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
/ 10
2.3
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.2
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hendricks
Magny
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
6
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/26 fights
Chin rating based on
38/46 fights
Hendricks
Magny
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
81
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Hendricks
Magny
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
39%
44%
5
KO / TKO Wins
8
0
Submission Wins
3
8
Decision Wins
14
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hendricks
Magny
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.3
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.2
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.8
HendricksMagny
Strike Zones
Hendricks
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedMagny
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hendricks targets the head (50% of attacks) — Magny absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Magny targets the head (57% of attacks) — Hendricks absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hendricks
RND
Magny
0/0R00/0
Hendricks · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Paulo CostaKO/TKO
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
L · KO · R2
Tim BoetschKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
W · Dec · R3
Hector LombardDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyDecision
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumDecision
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07
Magny · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Ramiz BrahimajKO/TKO
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · 2026-08
L · Sub · R1
Yaroslav AmosovSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · Sub · R3
Jake MatthewsSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · KO · R2
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · KO · R1
Carlos PratesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11