UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey
Las Vegas, USA
30 Dec 2016
Welterweight
VS
27%
Hendricks
73%
Magny
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JH
Johny Hendricks
"Bigg Rigg"
18 – 8
5'9"69" reachSouthpaw42 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 18
Neil
Neil Magny
"The Haitian Sensation"
31 – 15
Well-Rounded38 yrsOrthodox80" reach6'3"
CFR 48

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Magny

Magny is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Magny has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Hendricks's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Magny has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Hendricks
Magny
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'3"
69"
Reach
+80"
42
Age
+38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Hendricks
Magny
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.8
47.5
48.2
Performance Avg
47.4
39
Quality of Victory
36
80
Momentum Score
75
Hendricks
Magny
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.5
49%
Strike Accuracy
50%
5.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
5 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
17
0
Body
11
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
4Distance18
1Clinch1
1Ground11
Hendricks
Magny
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.5
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.3
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hendricks
Magny
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
6
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/26 fights
Chin rating based on
37/46 fights
Hendricks
Magny
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
75
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Hendricks
Magny
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
39%
42%
5
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
3
8
Decision Wins
14

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hendricks
Magny
Striking5.1 / 4.2Volume6.2 / 6.0Grappling1.5 / 2.4Wrestling1.0 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 1.3Pressure4.5 / 4.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.9
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
Hendricks
Strike Zones
Magny
Hendricks
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY3LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD11BODY2LEGS30 absorbed
Magny
Attacking
17HEAD11BODY2LEGS30 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY3LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hendricks targets the head (50% of attacks) — Magny absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Magny targets the head (57% of attacks) — Hendricks absorbs 57% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hendricks
RND
Magny
0/0R00/0

Hendricks · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.0W4.5W4.5W5.2W5.5L5.0W4.5W5.0W4.5W5.0W4.5W5.5L4.8W5.8L4.9W2.1L5.8L6.1L4.5W2.8L3.8L2009-082011-082014-032017-022017-11
WinLossTrend

Magny · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W1.5L5.5L4.5W4.6W5.2W4.5W5.5W5.5W5.2W2.8L4.5W4.8W5.5W1.5L4.5W1.7L4.5W5.0W3.9L5.3W4.5W4.8W6.3L5.5W5.1W4.8L6.4W1.7L5.6W7.0L7.3W3.6L3.7L5.8W6.5W3.7L2013-022015-082020-032023-082025-12
WinLossTrend

Hendricks · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Paulo CostaRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
L · KO · R2
Tim BoetschRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
W · Dec · R3
Hector LombardRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1
Decision
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07

Magny · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Yaroslav AmosovRating 3.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · Sub · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 6.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · KO · R2
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · KO · R1
Carlos PratesRating 3.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · KO · R1
Michael MoralesRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08

News & Media

Johny Hendricks · Neil Magny
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