UFC - Road to UFC 4.6
Shanghai, China
22 Aug 2025
Women's Strawweight
VS
72%
Ming
28%
Brasil
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Shi
Shi Ming
17 – 6
5'2"60" reachOrthodox31 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 83
Bruna
Bruna Brasil
11 – 7
Well-Rounded2-fight slide32 yrsOrthodox65" reach5'6"
CFR 33

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Ming

Ming is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 50 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Ming has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 75 points.

Brasil has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Ming
Brasil
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'2"
Height
+5'6"
60"
Reach
+65"
31+
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ming
Brasil
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
83.0
32.6
80.0
Performance Avg
30.0
100
Quality of Victory
25
71
Momentum Score
40
Ming
Brasil
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
0.8
42%
Strike Accuracy
54%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
6
5
Body
4
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
12Distance7
1Clinch4
0Ground0
Ming
Brasil
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ming
Brasil
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
70
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
7 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/23 fights
Chin rating based on
8/18 fights
Ming
Brasil
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
40
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Ming
Brasil
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ming
Brasil
Striking10.0 / 0.8Volume1.0 / 8.8Grappling0.0 / 2.4Wrestling0.0 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure8.5 / 1.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.1
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.8
Ming
Strike Zones
Brasil
Ming
Attacking
4HEAD5BODY4LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD4BODY1LEGS11 absorbed
Brasil
Attacking
6HEAD4BODY1LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD5BODY4LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Ming targets the body (38% of attacks) — Brasil absorbs 38% of strikes there
🎯Brasil targets the head (55% of attacks) — Ming absorbs 55% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ming
RND
Brasil
0/0R00/0

Ming · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.5W5.5L2024-112025-08
WinLossTrend

Brasil · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.9
0104.0L5.0W6.4L5.2W6.8L6.9W5.9L7.1L2023-042024-022025-022026-022026-03
WinLossTrend

Ming · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Bruna BrasilRating 5.5
Decision
UFC - Road to UFC 4.6 · 2025-08
W · KO · R3
Feng XiaocanRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11

Brasil · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Alexia ThainaraRating 7.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Ketlen SouzaRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Shi MingRating 6.9
Decision
UFC - Road to UFC 4.6 · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Wang CongRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Molly McCannRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07

News & Media

Shi Ming · Bruna Brasil
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