UFC Fight Night: Sanchez vs Riggs
San Diego, USA
13 Dec 2006
Welterweight
VS
58%
Larson
42%
Nakamura
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
BL
Brock Larson
42 – 10
5'11"71" reachSouthpaw48 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 19
KN
Keita Nakamura
"K-Taro"
34 – 10
Well-Rounded42 yrsSouthpaw73" reach5'11"
CFR 14

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Larson

This is a genuine toss-up — Larson at 58% vs Nakamura at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Nakamura throws more volume but Larson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Larson
Nakamura
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
71"
Reach
+73"
48
Age
+42
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Larson
Nakamura
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.8
13.7
46.6
Performance Avg
36.2
44
Quality of Victory
36
66
Momentum Score
26
Larson
Nakamura
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
0.8
42%
Strike Accuracy
37%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
7
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance7
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Larson
Nakamura
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
6.1
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
4.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
6.7
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
2
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Larson
Nakamura
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
86
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/52 fights
Chin rating based on
11/44 fights
Larson
Nakamura
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
66
26
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Larson
Nakamura
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Larson
Nakamura
Striking1.0 / 0.7Volume3.7 / 4.7Grappling6.1 / 5.2Wrestling4.3 / 3.6Submission6.7 / 5.0Pressure6.2 / 4.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
6.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
4.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.6
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
Larson
Strike Zones
Nakamura
Larson
Attacking
8HEAD0BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD0BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Nakamura
Attacking
7HEAD0BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD0BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Larson targets the head (100% of attacks) — Nakamura absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Nakamura targets the head (100% of attacks) — Larson absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Larson
RND
Nakamura
0/0R00/0

Larson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5L4.5W5.0W5.0W5.5L2.8L2005-102006-122009-042009-052009-092009-11
WinLossTrend

Nakamura · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.5L5.5L5.5L6.3W5.5L5.2W6.0L4.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L2006-122015-092016-102018-122019-04
WinLossTrend

Larson · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Brian FosterRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2 · 2009-11
L · Dec · R3
Mike PierceRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Guillard · 2009-09
W · Sub · R1
Mike PyleRating 5
Submission
UFC 98: Evans vs Machida · 2009-05
W · Sub · R1
Jesse SandersRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann · 2009-04
W · Dec · R3
Keita NakamuraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sanchez vs Riggs · 2006-12

Nakamura · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Sultan AlievRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04
W · Dec · R3
Salim TouahriRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
W · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · 2017-09
L · Dec · R3
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10

News & Media

Brock Larson · Keita Nakamura
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