UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett
Las Vegas, USA
24 Jan 2026
Heavyweight
VS
67%
Hokit
33%
Freeman
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:59
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hokit
Hokit holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Freeman has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hokit has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.
Hokit has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Hokit
Freeman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
73"
Reach
+77"
28+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Hokit
Freeman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
75.5
37.1
69.0
Performance Avg
35.0
48
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
46
Hokit
Freeman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.7
1.2
64%
Strike Accuracy
53%
8.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
31
Head
0
6
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
17Distance0
9Clinch0
11Ground0
Hokit
Freeman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.8
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hokit
Freeman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
78
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/9 fights
Chin rating based on
2/9 fights
Hokit
Freeman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
46
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Hokit
Freeman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hokit
Freeman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
HokitFreeman
Strike Zones
Hokit
Attacking
37 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedFreeman
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
37 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hokit targets the head (84% of attacks) — Freeman absorbs 84% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hokit
RND
Freeman
0/0R00/0
Hokit · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Freeman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Hokit · Last 4
Upcoming
Derrick LewisUFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Curtis BlaydesRating 5.4Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R1
Denzel FreemanRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R1
Max GimenisRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
Freeman · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Josh HokitRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Marek BujloRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11

