UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady
Las Vegas, USA
7 Sept 2024
Featherweight
VS
93%
Dulgarian
7%
Marotte
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:19
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Dulgarian
Dulgarian is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 57 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Dulgarian has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 55 points.
Striking split: Dulgarian throws more volume but Marotte connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Marotte has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Dulgarian
Marotte
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'9"
71"+
Reach
70"
29+
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Dulgarian
Marotte
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
61.4
4.8
52.9
Performance Avg
0.0
55
Quality of Victory
0
65
Momentum Score
0
Dulgarian
Marotte
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
0.2
54%
Strike Accuracy
100%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
0
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Dulgarian
Marotte
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Dulgarian
Marotte
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
66
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/9 fights
Chin rating based on
2/11 fights
Dulgarian
Marotte
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
Dulgarian
Marotte
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dulgarian
Marotte
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
DulgarianMarotte
Strike Zones
Dulgarian
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedMarotte
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dulgarian targets the head (100% of attacks) — Marotte absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Marotte targets the body (100% of attacks) — Dulgarian absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dulgarian
RND
Marotte
0/0R00/0
Dulgarian · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Marotte · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.5WinLossTrend
Dulgarian · Last 4
L · Sub · R1
Yadier del ValleRating 3.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
W · Sub · R2
Brendon MarotteRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
L · Dec · R3
Christian RodriguezRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
W · KO · R1
Francis MarshallRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
Marotte · Last 2
L · Sub · R2
Isaac DulgarianRating 4.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
L · KO · R1
Terrance McKinneyRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10

