UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz
New York City, USA
2 Nov 2019
Welterweight
VS
50%
Masvidal
50%
Diaz
Win Probability
JM
Jorge Masvidal
"Gamebred"
35 – 17
5'11"74" reachOrthodox41 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 35
ND
Nate Diaz
22 – 13
Well-Rounded41 yrsSouthpaw76" reach6'0"
CFR 35

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Masvidal

This is a genuine toss-up — Masvidal at 50% vs Diaz at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Diaz has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Masvidal's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Diaz has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Masvidal
Diaz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
74"
Reach
+76"
41
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Masvidal
Diaz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.2
35.3
47.0
Performance Avg
53.4
42
Quality of Victory
50
43
Momentum Score
100
Masvidal
Diaz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.9
49%
Strike Accuracy
50%
5.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.4
5 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
28
Head
12
8
Body
5
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
24Distance16
2Clinch3
12Ground0
Masvidal
Diaz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.6
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Masvidal
Diaz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
58
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/52 fights
Chin rating based on
27/35 fights
Masvidal
Diaz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
100
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R5
L · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Masvidal
Diaz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
75%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
10
6
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Masvidal
Diaz
Striking5.3 / 2.4Volume4.4 / 3.2Grappling1.7 / 5.6Wrestling1.2 / 3.9Submission0.8 / 6.3Pressure5.1 / 7.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.4
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.6
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.9
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.3
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.2
Masvidal
Strike Zones
Diaz
Masvidal
Attacking
28HEAD8BODY2LEGS38 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD5BODY2LEGS19 absorbed
Diaz
Attacking
12HEAD5BODY2LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
28HEAD8BODY2LEGS38 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Masvidal targets the head (74% of attacks) — Diaz absorbs 74% of strikes there
🎯Diaz targets the head (63% of attacks) — Masvidal absorbs 63% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Masvidal
RND
Diaz
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Masvidal · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.6W6.0W5.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L5.0W5.5L5.5L4.5W5.0W5.2W5.5L6.1L5.1W5.0W4.3W6.6L3.2L6.8L5.7L2013-042015-042017-012020-072023-04
WinLossTrend

Diaz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.2W5.0W5.0W5.2W4.5W6.0L5.5L5.2W5.5L5.0W5.5W5.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W5.5W5.5L2.8L5.0W5.7L4.6W7.1W7.5L4.5W4.8L6.6L5.9W2007-062009-092011-122016-032022-09
WinLossTrend

Masvidal · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Gilbert BurnsRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
L · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
L · KO · R2
Kamaru UsmanRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
L · Dec · R5
Kamaru UsmanRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · 2020-07
W · R3
Nate DiazRating 4.3
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11

Diaz · Last 5

W · Sub · R4
Tony FergusonRating 5.9
Submission
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
L · Dec · R5
Leon EdwardsRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
L · R3
Jorge MasvidalRating 4.8
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
W · Dec · R3
Anthony PettisRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
L · Dec · R5
Conor McGregorRating 7.5
Decision
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08

News & Media

Jorge Masvidal · Nate Diaz
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