METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz
New York City, USA
2 Nov 2019
Welterweight
VS
50%
Masvidal
50%
Diaz
Win Probability
★ Official Result
Jorge MasvidalwinsR3 · 5:00
def. Nate Diaz · UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Masvidal
→
Actual result
Masvidal wins
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Masvidal at 50% vs Diaz at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Diaz has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Masvidal's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Diaz has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MasvidalDiaz
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Masvidal
Diaz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
74"
Reach
+76"
41
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Masvidal
Diaz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.2
35.3
47.0
Performance Avg
53.4
42
Quality of Victory
50
43
Momentum Score
100
Masvidal
Diaz
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
1.9
49%
Strike Accuracy
50%
5.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.4
5 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
28
Head
12
8
Body
5
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
24Distance16
2Clinch3
12Ground0
Masvidal
Diaz
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.6
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Masvidal
Diaz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
58
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/52 fights
Chin rating based on
27/35 fights
Masvidal
Diaz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
100
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R5
L · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Masvidal
Diaz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
75%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
10
6
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Masvidal
Diaz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.4
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.6
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.9
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.3
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.2
MasvidalDiaz
Strike Zones
Masvidal
Attacking
38 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedDiaz
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
38 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Masvidal targets the head (74% of attacks) — Diaz absorbs 74% of strikes there
🎯Diaz targets the head (63% of attacks) — Masvidal absorbs 63% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Masvidal
RND
Diaz
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Masvidal · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Diaz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Masvidal · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gilbert BurnsRating 5.7Decision
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
L · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonRating 6.8Decision
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
L · KO · R2
Kamaru UsmanRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
L · Dec · R5
Kamaru UsmanRating 6.6Decision
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · 2020-07
W · R3
Nate DiazRating 4.3UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
Diaz · Last 5
W · Sub · R4
Tony FergusonRating 5.9Submission
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
L · Dec · R5
Leon EdwardsRating 6.6Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
L · R3
Jorge MasvidalRating 4.8UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
W · Dec · R3
Anthony PettisRating 4.5Decision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
L · Dec · R5
Conor McGregorRating 7.5Decision
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08