UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis
Sao Paulo, Brazil
4 Nov 2023
Heavyweight
VS
54%
Almeida
46%
Lewis
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Jailton
Jailton Almeida
"Malhadinho"
22 – 5
6'3"79" reachOrthodox34 yrs2-fight slidePressure Fighter
CFR 71
Derrick
Derrick Lewis
"The Black Beast"
29 – 13
Knockout Artist41 yrsOrthodox79" reach6'3"
CFR 59

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Almeida

This is a genuine toss-up — Almeida at 54% vs Lewis at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Almeida has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Lewis has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Almeida
Lewis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
79"
Reach
79"
34+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Almeida
Lewis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
70.9
59.2
61.0
Performance Avg
57.5
53
Quality of Victory
53
100
Momentum Score
84
Almeida
Lewis
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.3
64%
Strike Accuracy
56%
5.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.3
3 KOs
KO Finishes
16 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
6
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch1
0Ground5
Almeida
Lewis
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.5
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Almeida
Lewis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
8
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.1 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/27 fights
Chin rating based on
32/42 fights
Almeida
Lewis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
84
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
Almeida
Lewis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
88%
80%
3
KO / TKO Wins
16
4
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Almeida
Lewis
Striking5.2 / 9.3Volume2.5 / 2.9Grappling4.3 / 0.5Wrestling3.0 / 0.3Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure8.3 / 7.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.3
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
2.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
Almeida
Strike Zones
Lewis
Almeida
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Lewis
Attacking
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lewis targets the head (100% of attacks) — Almeida absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Almeida
RND
Lewis
0/0R00/0

Almeida · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.0W5.0W5.0W5.2W6.1W5.7W3.7L5.8W5.5W6.8L5.8L2022-022023-012024-032025-102026-02
WinLossTrend

Lewis · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.0W5.0W1.5L5.2W2.8L5.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W5.4W5.1W3.4L5.9W4.9W6.8W2.1L2.1L4.5W4.5W5.1W6.1W4.5L5.3W3.2L2.7L2.0L5.6W7.3L5.6W6.2W4.3L2014-042016-072019-032022-072026-01
WinLossTrend

Almeida · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Rizvan KunievRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Alexander VolkovRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · KO · R1
Serghei SpivacRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Sub · R1
Alexandr RomanovRating 5.8
Submission
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
L · KO · R2
Curtis BlaydesRating 3.7
KO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03

Lewis · Last 5

Upcoming
Josh Hokit
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
L · KO · R2
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 4.3
KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R1
Tallison TeixeiraRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · KO · R3
Rodrigo NascimentoRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
L · Dec · R5
Jailton AlmeidaRating 7.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11

News & Media

Jailton Almeida · Derrick Lewis
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