METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis
Sao Paulo, Brazil
4 Nov 2023
Heavyweight
VS
54%
Almeida
46%
Lewis
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jailton AlmeidawinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Derrick Lewis · UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Almeida
→
Actual result
Almeida wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Almeida at 54% vs Lewis at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Almeida has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Lewis has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AlmeidaLewis
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Almeida
Lewis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
79"
Reach
79"
35+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Almeida
Lewis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
70.9
59.2
61.0
Performance Avg
57.5
53
Quality of Victory
53
100
Momentum Score
84
Almeida
Lewis
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
1.3
64%
Strike Accuracy
56%
5.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.3
3 KOs
KO Finishes
16 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
6
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch1
0Ground5
Almeida
Lewis
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.5
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Almeida
Lewis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
8
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.1 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/27 fights
Chin rating based on
32/42 fights
Almeida
Lewis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
84
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
Almeida
Lewis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
88%
80%
3
KO / TKO Wins
16
4
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Almeida
Lewis
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.3
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
2.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
AlmeidaLewis
Strike Zones
Almeida
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedLewis
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lewis targets the head (100% of attacks) — Almeida absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Almeida
RND
Lewis
0/0R00/0
Almeida · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Lewis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Almeida · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Rizvan KunievRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Alexander VolkovRating 6.8Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · KO · R1
Serghei SpivacRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Sub · R1
Alexandr RomanovRating 5.8Submission
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
L · KO · R2
Curtis BlaydesRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
Lewis · Last 5
Upcoming
Josh HokitUFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
L · KO · R2
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 4.3KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R1
Tallison TeixeiraRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · KO · R3
Rodrigo NascimentoRating 5.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
L · Dec · R5
Jailton AlmeidaRating 7.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11