METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez
Houston, USA
21 Feb 2026
Flyweight
VS
73%
Coria
27%
Gurule
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Alden CoriawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Luis Gurule · UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Coria
→
Actual result
Coria wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Coria is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 42 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Gurule has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CoriaGurule
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Coria
Gurule
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'5"
67"+
Reach
64"
28+
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Coria
Gurule
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
66.7
25.1
60.0
Performance Avg
23.0
33
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
25
Coria
Gurule
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.3
/ 10
0.4
/ 10
5.3
Style: Pressure
0.6
7.3
Style: Volume
8.4
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
19
7
Body
5
3
Leg
3
RangeRange
32Distance25
1Clinch2
0Ground0
Coria
Gurule
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Coria
Gurule
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
62
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/15 fights
Chin rating based on
5/14 fights
Coria
Gurule
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
25
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Coria
Gurule
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Coria
Gurule
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.6
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.4
CoriaGurule
Strike Zones
Coria
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedGurule
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Coria targets the head (70% of attacks) — Gurule absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Gurule targets the head (70% of attacks) — Coria absorbs 70% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Coria
RND
Gurule
0/0R00/0
Coria · Last 4
Upcoming
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