UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown
Las Vegas, USA
8 Nov 2025
Middleweight
VS
51%
Duncan
49%
Tulio
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:20
Christian
Christian Leroy Duncan
"CLD"
14 – 2
6'2"79" reachSwitch30 yrs4-fight win streakKnockout Artist
CFR 65
Marco
Marco Tulio
"Matuto"
14 – 3
Knockout Artist2-fight slide31 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'0"
CFR 62

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Duncan

This is a genuine toss-up — Duncan at 51% vs Tulio at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Tulio throws more volume but Duncan connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Duncan
Tulio
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
79"+
Reach
74"
30+
Age
31
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Duncan
Tulio
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
64.8
61.8
59.8
Performance Avg
54.5
48
Quality of Victory
58
72
Momentum Score
65
Duncan
Tulio
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.2
3.5
63%
Strike Accuracy
56%
8.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
11
2
Body
2
5
Leg
6
RangeRange
13Distance16
1Clinch3
1Ground0
Duncan
Tulio
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Duncan
Tulio
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/16 fights
Chin rating based on
4/17 fights
Duncan
Tulio
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
65
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Duncan
Tulio
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
100%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Duncan
Tulio
Striking8.7 / 10.0Volume3.8 / 1.0Grappling0.7 / 0.0Wrestling0.5 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure7.3 / 8.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
Duncan
Strike Zones
Tulio
Duncan
Attacking
8HEAD2BODY5LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD2BODY6LEGS19 absorbed
Tulio
Attacking
11HEAD2BODY6LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD2BODY5LEGS15 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Duncan targets the head (53% of attacks) — Tulio absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Tulio targets the head (58% of attacks) — Duncan absorbs 58% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Duncan
RND
Tulio
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Duncan · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.9
0105.4W5.5L5.3W5.6W7.1L5.6W5.8W6.6W5.9W2023-032024-032025-082026-03
WinLossTrend

Tulio · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.0W6.4W4.2L6.5L2025-012025-042025-112026-05
WinLossTrend

Duncan · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Roman DolidzeRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
W · KO · R2
Marco TulioRating 6.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Eryk AndersRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Andrey PulyaevRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Gregory RodriguesRating 7.1
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07

Tulio · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Roman KopylovRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · KO · R2
Christian Leroy DuncanRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · KO · R2
Tresean GoreRating 6.4
KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · KO · R1
Ihor PotieriaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01

News & Media

Christian Leroy Duncan · Marco Tulio
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