METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown
Las Vegas, USA
8 Nov 2025
Middleweight
VS
51%
Duncan
49%
Tulio
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:20
★ Official Result
Christian Leroy DuncanwinsKO/TKOR2 · 3:20
def. Marco Tulio · UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Duncan
→
Actual result
Duncan wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Duncan at 51% vs Tulio at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Tulio has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DuncanTulio
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Duncan
Tulio
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
79"+
Reach
74"
31+
Age
32
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Duncan
Tulio
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.4
61.8
59.0
Performance Avg
54.5
45
Quality of Victory
58
72
Momentum Score
65
Duncan
Tulio
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.8
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
6.8
Style: Pressure
8.5
4.6
Style: Volume
1.0
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
11
2
Body
2
5
Leg
6
RangeRange
13Distance16
1Clinch3
1Ground0
Duncan
Tulio
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Duncan
Tulio
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/16 fights
Chin rating based on
4/17 fights
Duncan
Tulio
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
65
5-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Duncan
Tulio
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
100%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Duncan
Tulio
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
DuncanTulio
Strike Zones
Duncan
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTulio
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Duncan targets the head (53% of attacks) — Tulio absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Tulio targets the head (58% of attacks) — Duncan absorbs 58% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Duncan
RND
Tulio
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Duncan · Last 5
Upcoming
Brendan AllenUFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan · 2026-10
W · Dec · R3
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Roman DolidzeDecision
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Marco TulioKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Eryk AndersKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
Tulio · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Roman KopylovDecision
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L · KO · R2
Christian Leroy DuncanKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · KO · R2
Tresean GoreKO/TKO
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