UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape
Las Vegas, USA
13 Dec 2025
Heavyweight
VS
16%
Jr.
84%
Pat
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Allen
Allen Frye Jr.
6 – 1
6'5"80" reachOrthodox28 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 8
Guilherme
Guilherme Pat
"Kong"
6 – 1
Well-Rounded32 yrsOrthodox81" reach6'6"
CFR 41

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Pat

Pat is a strong favourite at 84% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Pat has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

Pat has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Jr.
Pat
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'5"
Height
+6'6"
80"
Reach
+81"
28+
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jr.
Pat
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
7.8
40.5
0.0
Performance Avg
35.0
0
Quality of Victory
25
0
Momentum Score
55
Jr.
Pat
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.3
1.0
33%
Strike Accuracy
76%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
24
1
Body
3
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance19
2Clinch8
0Ground0
Jr.
Pat
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jr.
Pat
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
1/7 fights
Chin rating based on
2/7 fights
Jr.
Pat
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
55
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Jr.
Pat
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Jr.
Pat
Striking0.0 / 1.0Volume0.0 / 9.0Grappling0.0 / 2.4Wrestling0.0 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.0 / 1.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
Jr.
Strike Zones
Pat
Jr.
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY2LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
24HEAD3BODY0LEGS27 absorbed
Pat
Attacking
24HEAD3BODY0LEGS27 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY2LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Jr. targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Pat absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Pat targets the head (89% of attacks) — Jr. absorbs 89% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Jr.
RND
Pat
0/0R00/0

Pat · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0104.5W5.5L2025-122026-04
WinLossTrend

Jr. · Last 1

L · Dec · R3
Guilherme PatRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12

Pat · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Thomas PetersenRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Allen Frye Jr.Rating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12

News & Media

Allen Frye Jr. · Guilherme Pat
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