METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape
Las Vegas, USA
13 Dec 2025
Heavyweight
VS
16%
Jr.
84%
Pat
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Guilherme PatwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Allen Frye Jr. · UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pat
→
Actual result
Pat wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Pat is a strong favourite at 84% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pat has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Pat has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
Jr.Pat
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Jr.
Pat
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'5"
Height
+6'6"
80"
Reach
+81"
28+
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jr.
Pat
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
7.8
40.5
0.0
Performance Avg
35.0
0
Quality of Victory
25
0
Momentum Score
55
Jr.
Pat
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.3
1.0
33%
Strike Accuracy
76%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
24
1
Body
3
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance19
2Clinch8
0Ground0
Jr.
Pat
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jr.
Pat
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
1/7 fights
Chin rating based on
2/7 fights
Jr.
Pat
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
55
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Jr.
Pat
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jr.
Pat
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
Jr.Pat
Strike Zones
Jr.
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedPat
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jr. targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Pat absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Pat targets the head (89% of attacks) — Jr. absorbs 89% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jr.
RND
Pat
0/0R00/0
Pat · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Jr. · Last 1
L · Dec · R3
Guilherme PatRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
Pat · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Thomas PetersenRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Allen Frye Jr.Rating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12