UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park
Las Vegas, USA
2 Aug 2025
Welterweight
VS
51%
Magny
49%
Santos
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:39

CFR 45
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Magny
This is a genuine toss-up — Magny at 51% vs Santos at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Santos throws more volume but Magny connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Magny's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Santos has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Magny
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'11"
80"+
Reach
73"
38+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Magny
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.5
45.3
47.4
Performance Avg
49.3
36
Quality of Victory
39
75
Momentum Score
45
Magny
Santos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.7
50%
Strike Accuracy
44%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.9
7 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
3Distance2
2Clinch0
20Ground0
Magny
Santos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.0
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Magny
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
28
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
6
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
37/46 fights
Chin rating based on
18/35 fights
Magny
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
45
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Magny
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
42%
46%
7
KO / TKO Wins
4
3
Submission Wins
1
14
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Magny
Santos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.9
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
MagnySantos
Strike Zones
Magny
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedSantos
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Magny targets the head (100% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Magny absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Magny
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0
Magny · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Santos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Magny · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Yaroslav AmosovRating 3.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · Sub · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 6.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · KO · R2
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · KO · R1
Carlos PratesRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · KO · R1
Michael MoralesRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
Santos · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Neil MagnyRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · KO · R2
Chidi NjokuaniRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · KO · R1
Zachary ScrogginRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 6.4Decision
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Upcoming
Rinat FakhretdinovDecision
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