UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park
Las Vegas, USA
2 Aug 2025
Welterweight
VS
51%
Magny
49%
Santos
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:39
Neil
Neil Magny
"The Haitian Sensation"
3115
6'3"80" reachOrthodox38 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 48
Elizeu
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
"Capoeira"
2510
Well-Rounded2-fight slide39 yrsOrthodox73" reach5'11"
CFR 45

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Magny

This is a genuine toss-up — Magny at 51% vs Santos at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Santos throws more volume but Magny connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Magny's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Santos has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Magny
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'11"
80"+
Reach
73"
38+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Magny
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.5
45.3
47.4
Performance Avg
49.3
36
Quality of Victory
39
75
Momentum Score
45
Magny
Santos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.7
50%
Strike Accuracy
44%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.9
7 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
3Distance2
2Clinch0
20Ground0
Magny
Santos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.0
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Magny
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
28
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
6
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
37/46 fights
Chin rating based on
18/35 fights
Magny
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
45
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Magny
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
42%
46%
7
KO / TKO Wins
4
3
Submission Wins
1
14
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Magny
Santos
Striking4.2 / 4.9Volume6.0 / 5.7Grappling2.4 / 2.0Wrestling1.7 / 1.4Submission1.3 / 0.9Pressure4.9 / 5.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.9
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
Magny
Strike Zones
Santos
Magny
Attacking
25HEAD0BODY0LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY2LEGS2 absorbed
Santos
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY2LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
25HEAD0BODY0LEGS25 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Magny targets the head (100% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Magny absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Magny
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0

Magny · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W1.5L5.5L4.5W4.6W5.2W4.5W5.5W5.5W5.2W2.8L4.5W4.8W5.5W1.5L4.5W1.7L4.5W5.0W3.9L5.3W4.5W4.8W6.3L5.5W5.1W4.8L6.4W1.7L5.6W7.0L7.3W3.6L3.7L5.8W6.5W3.7L2013-022015-082020-032023-082025-12
WinLossTrend

Santos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.8L5.5W4.5W4.5W5.1W6.1W5.2W5.0W4.8L4.5W6.5L6.3W4.5W6.4L5.0W3.9L3.4L2015-052018-052020-072025-032025-08
WinLossTrend

Magny · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Yaroslav AmosovRating 3.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · Sub · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 6.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · KO · R2
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · KO · R1
Carlos PratesRating 3.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · KO · R1
Michael MoralesRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08

Santos · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Neil MagnyRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · KO · R2
Chidi NjokuaniRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · KO · R1
Zachary ScrogginRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
Upcoming
Rinat Fakhretdinov
Decision
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News & Media

Neil Magny · Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
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