UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
3 Oct 2020
Bantamweight
VS
36%
Kenney
64%
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CK
Casey Kenney
16 – 4
5'7"68" reachSouthpaw35 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 26
Alatengheili
Alatengheili
"The Mongolian Knight"
17 – 10
Well-Rounded34 yrsOrthodox66" reach5'5"
CFR 46

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge:

holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Kenney has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Kenney has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Kenney
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'5"
68"+
Reach
66"
35
Age
+34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Kenney
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.8
46.2
43.5
Performance Avg
44.2
31
Quality of Victory
32
55
Momentum Score
49
Kenney
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
0.9
45%
Strike Accuracy
31%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
8
11
Body
4
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
40Distance13
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Kenney
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.9
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Kenney
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
94
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/20 fights
Chin rating based on
9/27 fights
Kenney
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
49
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Kenney
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
20%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Kenney
Striking1.3 / 3.3Volume7.7 / 7.7Grappling3.5 / 1.9Wrestling2.5 / 1.3Submission2.0 / 0.0Pressure3.3 / 3.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
7.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.7
Kenney
Strike Zones
Kenney
Attacking
25HEAD11BODY4LEGS40 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD4BODY1LEGS13 absorbed
Attacking
8HEAD4BODY1LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
25HEAD11BODY4LEGS40 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Kenney targets the head (63% of attacks) — absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯 targets the head (62% of attacks) — Kenney absorbs 62% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Kenney
RND
0/0R00/0

Kenney · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W4.5W6.8L5.0W5.1W5.3W5.5L6.8L2019-032020-022020-102021-032021-08
WinLossTrend

· QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.1W4.5W5.5L5.0W4.9W6.0L5.0W6.5L2019-082020-102022-092024-052025-04
WinLossTrend

Kenney · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Song YadongRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane · 2021-08
L · Dec · R3
Dominick CruzRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
W · Dec · R3
Nathaniel WoodRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
W · Dec · R3
AlatengheiliRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana · 2020-10
W · Sub · R1
Louis SmolkaRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05

· Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Da'Mon BlackshearRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Kleydson RodriguesRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Chris GutierrezRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
W · Dec · R3
Chad AnheligerRating 4.9
Decision
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
W · KO · R1
Kevin CroomRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad · 2022-04

News & Media

Casey Kenney · Alatengheili
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