UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira
Stockholm, Sweden
28 May 2017
Middleweight
VS
43%
Smith
57%
Camozzi
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
TS
Trevor Smith
"Hot Sauce"
15 – 10
6'3"75" reachOrthodox45 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 11
CC
Chris Camozzi
24 – 13
Well-Rounded3-fight slide39 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'2"
CFR 14

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Camozzi

This is a genuine toss-up — Smith at 43% vs Camozzi at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Camozzi throws more volume but Smith connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Smith's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Camozzi has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Smith
Camozzi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'2"
75"
Reach
75"
45
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Smith
Camozzi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
10.9
14.4
31.7
Performance Avg
37.6
25
Quality of Victory
31
45
Momentum Score
63
Smith
Camozzi
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.4
53%
Strike Accuracy
46%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.1
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
5
1
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance2
4Clinch2
3Ground1
Smith
Camozzi
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.5
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Smith
Camozzi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
40
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/25 fights
Chin rating based on
19/37 fights
Smith
Camozzi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
63
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Smith
Camozzi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
22%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Smith
Camozzi
Striking0.8 / 2.1Volume8.8 / 6.3Grappling2.4 / 2.5Wrestling1.7 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 1.1Pressure1.3 / 3.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.1
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
1.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.0
8.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
Smith
Strike Zones
Camozzi
Smith
Attacking
7HEAD1BODY1LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Camozzi
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD1BODY1LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Smith targets the head (78% of attacks) — Camozzi absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Camozzi targets the head (100% of attacks) — Smith absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Smith
RND
Camozzi
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Smith · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.7L4.5W1.5L4.5W1.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.9L5.0L2013-072014-072016-082018-052019-12
WinLossTrend

Camozzi · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W4.5W1.5L5.5L6.9W4.5W4.5W4.5W1.5L5.5L5.5L5.5L1.5L4.5W5.0W4.5W4.0L5.5L5.5L2010-062012-062014-072016-052017-05
WinLossTrend

Smith · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Makhmud MuradovRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
L · Dec · R3
Zak CummingsRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Elias TheodorouRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Chris CamozziRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
L · Dec · R3
Andrew SanchezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov · 2016-12

Camozzi · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Trevor SmithRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
L · Dec · R3
Daniel KellyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · 2016-11
L · Sub · R3
Thales LeitesRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres · 2016-08
W · Dec · R3
Vitor MirandaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
W · KO · R1
Joe RiggsRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowboy · 2016-02

News & Media

Trevor Smith · Chris Camozzi
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