UFC 44: Undisputed
Las Vegas, USA
26 Sept 2003
Middleweight
VS
42%
Rivera
58%
Loiseau
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Loiseau
This is a genuine toss-up — Rivera at 42% vs Loiseau at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Rivera has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Rivera's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rivera
Loiseau
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
73"
Reach
+76"
54
Age
+46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rivera
Loiseau
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.4
20.1
48.0
Performance Avg
43.7
44
Quality of Victory
43
30
Momentum Score
100
Rivera
Loiseau
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.0
54%
Strike Accuracy
51%
7.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.9
5 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
4
7
Body
0
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
7Distance3
21Clinch2
3Ground0
Rivera
Loiseau
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Rivera
Loiseau
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
70
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/29 fights
Chin rating based on
9/34 fights
Rivera
Loiseau
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
100
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · R2
Rivera
Loiseau
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
50%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rivera
Loiseau
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.9
0.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
RiveraLoiseau
Strike Zones
Rivera
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedLoiseau
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rivera targets the head (71% of attacks) — Loiseau absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Loiseau targets the head (80% of attacks) — Rivera absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rivera
RND
Loiseau
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Rivera · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Loiseau · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Rivera · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Eric SchaferRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
L · Dec · R3
Constantinos PhilippouRating 5.5Decision
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2 · 2011-08
L · KO · R2
Michael BispingRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
W · KO · R2
Nate QuarryRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi · 2010-03
W · KO · R3
Rob KimmonsRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 104: Machida vs Shogun · 2009-10
Loiseau · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Mario MirandaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin · 2010-06
L · Dec · R3
Ed HermanRating 5.7Decision
UFC 97: Redemption · 2009-04
L · Dec · R3
Mike SwickRating 5.5Decision
UFC 63: Hughes vs Penn · 2006-09
L · Dec · R5
Rich FranklinRating 5.5Decision
UFC 58: USA vs Canada · 2006-03
W · R2
Evan TannerRating 4.2UFC Fight Night 2 · 2005-10