UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac
Paris, France
2 Sept 2023
Bantamweight
VS
59%
Basharat
41%
Rodrigues
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:15
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Basharat
This is a genuine toss-up — Basharat at 59% vs Rodrigues at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Rodrigues has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 30 points.
Rodrigues has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Basharat
Rodrigues
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'5"
71"+
Reach
67"
28+
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Basharat
Rodrigues
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
64.0
44.4
57.9
Performance Avg
46.0
30
Quality of Victory
60
100
Momentum Score
22
Basharat
Rodrigues
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.6
45%
Strike Accuracy
56%
2.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
3
2
Body
2
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
0Distance4
1Clinch1
3Ground2
Basharat
Rodrigues
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Basharat
Rodrigues
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
84
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/15 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Basharat
Rodrigues
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
22
6-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Basharat
Rodrigues
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
17%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Basharat
Rodrigues
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
BasharatRodrigues
Strike Zones
Basharat
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedRodrigues
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Basharat targets the head (50% of attacks) — Rodrigues absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Rodrigues targets the head (43% of attacks) — Basharat absorbs 43% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Basharat
RND
Rodrigues
0/0R00/0
Basharat · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Rodrigues · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Basharat · Last 5
Upcoming
Ethyn EwingUFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Jean MatsumotoRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Chris GutierrezRating 5Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Victor HugoRating 4.5Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Taylor LapilusRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
Rodrigues · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
AlatengheiliRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
L · Sub · R1
Farid BasharatRating 3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · 2023-09
W · KO · R1
Shannon RossRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
L · Dec · R3
CJ VergaraRating 5.5Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05

