UFC 86: Jackson vs Griffin
Las Vegas, USA
5 Jul 2008
Welterweight
VS
48%
Koscheck
52%
Lytle
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JK
Josh Koscheck
17 – 11
5'10"73" reachOrthodox48 yrs5-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 17
CL
Chris Lytle
"Lights Out"
31 – 18
Well-Rounded51 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'11"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lytle

This is a genuine toss-up — Koscheck at 48% vs Lytle at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Lytle has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Koscheck's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Koscheck
Lytle
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
73"+
Reach
68"
48+
Age
51
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Koscheck
Lytle
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.9
18.3
50.5
Performance Avg
46.2
44
Quality of Victory
44
59
Momentum Score
56
Koscheck
Lytle
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.3
39%
Strike Accuracy
42%
5.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
8
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance7
0Clinch2
5Ground0
Koscheck
Lytle
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.5
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Koscheck
Lytle
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
80
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/28 fights
Chin rating based on
20/49 fights
Koscheck
Lytle
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
56
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Koscheck
Lytle
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
70%
6
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
6
6
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Koscheck
Lytle
Striking5.2 / 2.0Volume4.4 / 3.4Grappling2.6 / 5.5Wrestling1.8 / 3.9Submission2.0 / 6.0Pressure6.0 / 6.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.5
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.9
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
Koscheck
Strike Zones
Lytle
Koscheck
Attacking
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD1BODY0LEGS9 absorbed
Lytle
Attacking
8HEAD1BODY0LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Koscheck targets the head (100% of attacks) — Lytle absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Lytle targets the head (89% of attacks) — Koscheck absorbs 89% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Koscheck
RND
Lytle
0/0R00/0

Koscheck · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.0W5.0W4.0L5.0W4.5W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.5L5.2W4.5W5.5L5.0W1.5L5.0W5.2W4.5W5.5L5.0W4.5W5.5L1.8L1.5L2.8L1.5L2005-042007-042009-092013-022015-03
WinLossTrend

Lytle · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.8L5.8L5.2W5.2W5.5L4.8L5.5L5.5L5.0W4.8L5.0W5.5L4.5W5.5L4.5W5.0W5.6W4.5W5.5L5.5W2000-112005-102008-022010-022011-08
WinLossTrend

Koscheck · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Erick SilvaRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare · 2015-03
L · Sub · R2
Jake EllenbergerRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · 2015-02
L · KO · R1
Tyron WoodleyRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks · 2013-11
L · KO · R1
Robbie LawlerRating 1.8
KO/TKO
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
L · Dec · R3
Johny HendricksRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05

Lytle · Last 5

W · Sub · R3
Dan HardyRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Brian EbersoleRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
W · Dec · R3
Matt SerraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 119: Mir vs Cro Cop · 2010-09
W · Sub · R2
Matt BrownRating 5.6
Submission
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
W · Sub · R1
Brian FosterRating 5
Submission
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02

News & Media

Josh Koscheck · Chris Lytle
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