METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2
Newark, USA
7 Jun 2025
Heavyweight
VS
40%
Spivac
60%
Acosta
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Waldo Cortes AcostawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Serghei Spivac · UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Acosta
→
Actual result
Acosta wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Acosta holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Spivac has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Spivac's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SpivacAcosta
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Spivac
Acosta
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
78"
Reach
78"
31+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Spivac
Acosta
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.1
65.8
50.5
Performance Avg
55.7
47
Quality of Victory
42
33
Momentum Score
100
Spivac
Acosta
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.5
/ 10
6.5
/ 10
6.3
Style: Pressure
5.8
3.8
Style: Volume
5.5
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
43
0
Body
1
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
14Distance46
2Clinch1
0Ground0
Spivac
Acosta
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Spivac
Acosta
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
94
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/24 fights
Chin rating based on
14/20 fights
Spivac
Acosta
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
100
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Spivac
Acosta
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
50%
3
KO / TKO Wins
5
3
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Spivac
Acosta
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.5
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
SpivacAcosta
Strike Zones
Spivac
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
47 absorbedAcosta
Attacking
47 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Spivac targets the head (100% of attacks) — Acosta absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Acosta targets the head (91% of attacks) — Spivac absorbs 91% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Spivac
RND
Acosta
0/0R00/0
Spivac · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Vitor PetrinoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · 2026-08
W · Dec · R3
Ante DelijaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaDecision
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
L · KO · R1
Jailton AlmeidaKO/TKO
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Sub · R1
Marcin TyburaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
Acosta · Last 5
Upcoming
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L · Dec · R3
Alexander VolkovDecision
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W · KO · R2
Derrick LewisKO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R1
Shamil GazievKO/TKO
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W · KO · R1
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