UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland
Las Vegas, USA
10 Apr 2021
Welterweight
VS
24%
Perry
76%
Rodriguez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MP
Mike Perry
"Platinum"
14 – 8
5'10"71" reachOrthodox34 yrs2-fight slideStriker
CFR 16
Daniel
Daniel Rodriguez
"D-Rod"
20 – 5
Well-Rounded3-fight win streak39 yrsSouthpaw74" reach6'1"
CFR 53

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Rodriguez

Rodriguez is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 37 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Rodriguez throws more volume but Perry connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Perry's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Rodriguez has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Perry
Rodriguez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'1"
71"
Reach
+74"
34+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Perry
Rodriguez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.4
53.3
44.4
Performance Avg
50.7
43
Quality of Victory
37
50
Momentum Score
70
Perry
Rodriguez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
2.9
51%
Strike Accuracy
50%
6.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.4
4 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
38
6
Body
5
5
Leg
10
RangeRange
24Distance53
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Perry
Rodriguez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.0
/ 10
2.2
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Perry
Rodriguez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
62
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/22 fights
Chin rating based on
14/25 fights
Perry
Rodriguez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
70
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Perry
Rodriguez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
40%
4
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Perry
Rodriguez
Striking6.7 / 4.4Volume4.4 / 6.2Grappling1.0 / 2.2Wrestling0.7 / 1.6Submission0.0 / 1.0Pressure5.4 / 4.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.0
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.9
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
Perry
Strike Zones
Rodriguez
Perry
Attacking
13HEAD6BODY5LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
38HEAD5BODY10LEGS53 absorbed
Rodriguez
Attacking
38HEAD5BODY10LEGS53 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD6BODY5LEGS24 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Perry targets the head (54% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 54% of strikes there
🎯Rodriguez targets the head (72% of attacks) — Perry absorbs 72% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Perry
RND
Rodriguez
0/0R00/0

Perry · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0W5.5W5.5L5.2W5.0W6.0L6.1L4.5W1.5L4.5W7.0L2.5L5.0W5.6L6.4L2016-082017-092018-112020-062021-04
WinLossTrend

Rodriguez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.3W5.3W5.0W5.8L4.5W5.0W4.5W5.3W4.6L3.0L5.8L4.5W6.0W5.1W2020-022021-042022-112025-052025-07
WinLossTrend

Perry · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
L · Dec · R3
Tim MeansRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · 2020-11
W · Dec · R3
Mickey GallRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker · 2020-06
L · KO · R1
Geoff NealRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
L · Dec · R3
Vicente LuqueRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · 2019-08

Rodriguez · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Kevin HollandRating 5.1
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · KO · R3
Santiago PonzinibbioRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
L · KO · R1
Ian Machado GarryRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05

News & Media

Mike Perry · Daniel Rodriguez
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