UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez
Las Vegas, USA
9 Dec 2023
Lightweight
VS
56%
Haqparast
44%
Mullarkey
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:44
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Haqparast
This is a genuine toss-up — Haqparast at 56% vs Mullarkey at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Haqparast has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Haqparast's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Mullarkey has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Haqparast
Mullarkey
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
72"
Reach
+74"
30+
Age
31
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Haqparast
Mullarkey
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.0
38.1
45.6
Performance Avg
40.0
32
Quality of Victory
36
72
Momentum Score
51
Haqparast
Mullarkey
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.7
1.6
48%
Strike Accuracy
45%
3.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
3
2
Body
2
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
4Distance8
6Clinch0
6Ground0
Haqparast
Mullarkey
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.9
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Haqparast
Mullarkey
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/24 fights
Chin rating based on
13/27 fights
Haqparast
Mullarkey
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
51
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Haqparast
Mullarkey
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
33%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Haqparast
Mullarkey
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.7
7.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
HaqparastMullarkey
Strike Zones
Haqparast
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedMullarkey
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Haqparast targets the head (88% of attacks) — Mullarkey absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Mullarkey targets the head (38% of attacks) — Haqparast absorbs 38% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Haqparast
RND
Mullarkey
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Haqparast · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Mullarkey · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Haqparast · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Quillan SalkilldRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Esteban RibovicsRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Jared GordonRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · KO · R1
Jamie MullarkeyRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
W · Dec · R3
Landon QuinonesRating 4.5Decision
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
Mullarkey · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Quillan SalkilldRating 3.6Submission
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Rolando BedoyaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
L · KO · R1
Mauricio RuffyRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
L · KO · R1
Nasrat HaqparastRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
W · Dec · R3
John MakdessiRating 4.5Decision
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09