METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez
Las Vegas, USA
9 Dec 2023
Lightweight
VS
53%
Haqparast
47%
Mullarkey
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:44
★ Official Result
Nasrat HaqparastwinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:44
def. Jamie Mullarkey · UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Haqparast
→
Actual result
Haqparast wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Haqparast at 53% vs Mullarkey at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Haqparast's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Mullarkey has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HaqparastMullarkey
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Haqparast
Mullarkey
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
72"
Reach
+74"
31+
Age
32
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Haqparast
Mullarkey
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.5
38.1
43.9
Performance Avg
40.0
32
Quality of Victory
36
59
Momentum Score
51
Haqparast
Mullarkey
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
3.3
Style: Pressure
3.7
7.7
Style: Volume
6.3
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
3
2
Body
2
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
4Distance8
6Clinch0
6Ground0
Haqparast
Mullarkey
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Haqparast
Mullarkey
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/24 fights
Chin rating based on
13/27 fights
Haqparast
Mullarkey
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
51
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Haqparast
Mullarkey
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
33%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Haqparast
Mullarkey
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.7
7.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
HaqparastMullarkey
Strike Zones
Haqparast
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedMullarkey
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Haqparast targets the head (88% of attacks) — Mullarkey absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Mullarkey targets the head (38% of attacks) — Haqparast absorbs 38% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Haqparast
RND
Mullarkey
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Haqparast · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Chris PadillaSubmission
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L · KO · R1
Quillan SalkilldKO/TKO
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Esteban RibovicsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Jared GordonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · KO · R1
Jamie MullarkeyKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
Mullarkey · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Quillan SalkilldSubmission
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Rolando BedoyaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
L · KO · R1
Mauricio RuffyKO/TKO
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
L · KO · R1
Nasrat HaqparastKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
W · Dec · R3
John MakdessiDecision
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09

