UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura
Las Vegas, USA
16 Mar 2024
Featherweight
VS
43%
Rodriguez
57%
Dulgarian
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Dulgarian
This is a genuine toss-up — Rodriguez at 43% vs Dulgarian at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Dulgarian has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 24 points.
Striking split: Rodriguez throws more volume but Dulgarian connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Rodriguez
Dulgarian
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
71"
Reach
71"
28+
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rodriguez
Dulgarian
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.2
61.4
40.7
Performance Avg
52.9
31
Quality of Victory
55
64
Momentum Score
65
Rodriguez
Dulgarian
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.5
51%
Strike Accuracy
54%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
33
Head
5
1
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
14Distance5
5Clinch0
16Ground0
Rodriguez
Dulgarian
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.0
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Rodriguez
Dulgarian
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
86
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/16 fights
Chin rating based on
4/9 fights
Rodriguez
Dulgarian
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
65
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Rodriguez
Dulgarian
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rodriguez
Dulgarian
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
3.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
7.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
RodriguezDulgarian
Strike Zones
Rodriguez
Attacking
35 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedDulgarian
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
35 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rodriguez targets the head (94% of attacks) — Dulgarian absorbs 94% of strikes there
🎯Dulgarian targets the head (100% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rodriguez
RND
Dulgarian
0/0R00/0
Rodriguez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Dulgarian · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Rodriguez · Last 5
Upcoming
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Dulgarian · Last 4
L · Sub · R1
Yadier del ValleRating 3.3Submission
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W · KO · R1
Francis MarshallRating 5.8KO/TKO
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