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UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura
Las Vegas, USA
16 Mar 2024
Featherweight
VS
47%
Rodriguez
53%
Dulgarian
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Christian
Christian Rodriguez
"Ceerod"
124
5'7"71" reachOrthodox28 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 55
Isaac
Isaac Dulgarian
"The Midwest Choppa"
72
Pressure Fighter30 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'7"
CFR 61
★ Official Result
Christian RodriguezwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Isaac Dulgarian · UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Dulgarian
Actual result
Rodriguez wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Rodriguez at 47% vs Dulgarian at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Dulgarian has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
RodriguezDulgarian
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Rodriguez
Dulgarian
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
71"
Reach
71"
28+
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rodriguez
Dulgarian
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.0
61.4
44.8
Performance Avg
52.9
35
Quality of Victory
55
90
Momentum Score
65
Rodriguez
Dulgarian
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
6.0
/ 10
4.1
Style: Pressure
8.5
6.5
Style: Volume
1.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
33
Head
5
1
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
14Distance5
5Clinch0
16Ground0
Rodriguez
Dulgarian
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.8
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rodriguez
Dulgarian
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
86
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Strikes absorbed / min
10/16 fights
Chin rating based on
4/9 fights
Rodriguez
Dulgarian
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
90
65
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Rodriguez
Dulgarian
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rodriguez
Dulgarian
Striking1.2 / 6.0Volume6.5 / 1.0Grappling4.3 / 4.0Wrestling3.0 / 2.8Submission3.3 / 5.0Pressure4.1 / 8.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
Rodriguez
Strike Zones
Dulgarian
Rodriguez
Attacking
33HEAD1BODY1LEGS35 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Dulgarian
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
33HEAD1BODY1LEGS35 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Rodriguez targets the head (94% of attacks) — Dulgarian absorbs 94% of strikes there
🎯Dulgarian targets the head (100% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rodriguez
RND
Dulgarian
0/0R00/0

Rodriguez · Last 5

W · Sub · R1
Hyder Amil
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Andre Fili
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Melquizael Costa
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Austin Bashi
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Sub · R1
Julian Erosa
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07

Dulgarian · Last 4

L · Sub · R1
Yadier del Valle
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
W · Sub · R2
Brendon Marotte
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
L · Dec · R3
Christian Rodriguez
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
W · KO · R1
Francis Marshall
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08

News & Media

Christian Rodriguez · Isaac Dulgarian
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